Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9092

Bill Overview

Title: Family and Small Business Taxpayer Protection Act

Description: This bill rescinds unobligated amounts appropriated to the Internal Revenue Service by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 for its enforcement and other activities.

Sponsors: Rep. Smith, Adrian [R-NE-3]

Target Audience

Population: Families and small business owners subject to IRS enforcement

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Owner of a small cafe (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will give small business owners like me some breathing room by reducing unnecessary audits.
  • I've spent a lot of time worrying about IRS audits, which affects my focus on growing my business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Freelance Graphic Designer (Austin, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm constantly worried about making mistakes on my taxes. If enforcement is scaled back, that's one less thing to stress over.
  • I'm generally against cutting resources for the IRS because it may lead to larger tax evasion issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Accountant (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My clients will feel more secure from the policy, but it could lead to less compliance overall.
  • Proper enforcement is necessary to ensure fairness in tax contributions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Small farm owner (Boise, ID)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With reduced IRS enforcement, I can invest more in my farm rather than saving for potential audits.
  • I'm concerned how this may unbalance the system, letting larger entities evade taxes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

IT Consultant (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A reduction in enforcement will lower the stress associated with tax processes.
  • I'm worried that the wealthy will benefit more from less scrutiny than the rest of us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't directly affect me, but I worry about making tax compliance more challenging in the long run.
  • It's important that everyone pays their fair share.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Software Developer (Denver, CO)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With reduced IRS enforcement, large corporations might exploit loopholes more easily.
  • I prefer a balanced approach to funding, one that ensures effective oversight without overburdening small entities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may reduce stress for small business owners, but tax revenue is critical for public services that I rely on.
  • I expect overall tax compliance to be maintained.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Startup Founder (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could reduce costs related to legal tax services for us.
  • Without enforcement, compliance culture might diminish, which is risky for the economy in the long term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Nurse (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand why small businesses might support this policy, but equity in tax compliance is critical.
  • The policy doesn't directly affect me, but I want to see fair contribution across income levels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 2: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 3: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 5: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 10: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 100: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Key Considerations