Bill Overview
Title: Non-Recognition of Russian Annexation of Ukrainian Territory Act
Description: This bill prohibits any federal agency from taking any action or extending any assistance that recognizes or implies recognition of Russia's sovereignty over any internationally recognized territory of Ukraine, including its airspace and territorial waters.
Sponsors: Rep. Keating, William R. [D-MA-9]
Target Audience
Population: Individuals living in Ukraine
Estimated Size: 70000000
- The legislation affects individuals living in Ukraine, as it pertains to territorial sovereignty issues.
- Specifically, it impacts individuals living in territories that Russia claims to have annexed, such as Crimea and parts of Eastern Ukraine.
- Ukrainian government officials and residents of these territories are directly impacted by international recognition or lack thereof.
- The global community, including those engaged in diplomatic and economic activities with Ukraine and Russia, may be indirectly affected.
- People working in international law, human rights, and conflict resolution sectors may also be influenced by these developments.
- The legislation could impact U.S.-Russia relations, which indirectly affects global geopolitics and international stability.
Reasoning
- The policy does not directly impact most Americans as it primarily addresses international recognition of territorial claims involving Ukraine and Russia.
- However, there are segments of the American population that might be indirectly affected, including those with familial, business, or diplomatic ties to Ukraine or Russia.
- The budget for the policy primarily covers administrative and potential lobbying costs, rather than direct financial impacts on individuals.
- A simulated cross-section of the U.S. population will include those who are geopolitically aware or concerned due to international ties or interests.
- Most Americans may not experience a day-to-day change in wellbeing scores due to the policy alone.
Simulated Interviews
Government Official (Washington D.C.)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I believe this policy strengthens our commitment to international law and supports Ukraine in its sovereignty issues.
- It's crucial for our foreign policy to be clear about our stance on territorial disputes.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
International Lawyer (New York, NY)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy denotes a principled stance on international law, which aligns with international human rights norms.
- It could potentially affect diplomatic missions I am involved with, in a positive way.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Business Owner (Chicago, IL)
Age: 38 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm concerned about how this might affect my business with clients in Eastern Europe.
- While it's important to stand for international law, I worry about potential impacts on trade relations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Retired (Austin, TX)
Age: 65 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy is a step in the right direction for global diplomatic integrity.
- I'm supportive but concerned about its long-term impact on U.S.-Russia relations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Graduate Student (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 26 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It's great to see policies that reinforce international norms, but I'm skeptical about actual impacts.
- This policy could reshape some aspects of my studies on U.S.-Russia relations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Tech Professional (Houston, TX)
Age: 29 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy is comforting, knowing the U.S. supports Ukraine’s sovereignty.
- I am worried about how this might change the travel advisories and my ability to visit family.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Media Analyst (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 54 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy could stir debates and lead to shifts in international reporting and focus.
- I'm interested to see how this impacts coverage and perception.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Entrepreneur (Miami, FL)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This may reassure some investors, maintaining confidence in Ukraine's legitimate governance.
- However, there's still anxiety over stability and security in investments.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Historian (Boston, MA)
Age: 70 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Recognizing sovereignty issues is crucial for maintaining historical accuracy and principles of international relations.
- This aligns with historical precedents and could serve as a teaching point for the importance of sovereignty.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Student (Seattle, WA)
Age: 23 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I think this policy is necessary for holding on to international law norms.
- It will be interesting to observe any shifts in global alliances or counteractions.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Year 2: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Year 3: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Year 5: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Year 10: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)
Key Considerations
- The Act reinforces U.S. foreign policy stance on national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
- It may affect U.S.-Russia relations and thereby international trade dynamics.
- Global diplomatic reactions could affect economic forecasts.
- The Act requires continuous alignment with international law and policies regarding territorial integrity.