Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9057

Bill Overview

Title: To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to exclude from gross income certain income from providing homeowner's insurance following certain federally declared disasters.

Description: This bill excludes from the gross income of specified insurance companies (other than life insurance companies) certain income from providing homeowner's insurance after a federally declared disaster.

Sponsors: Rep. Higgins, Clay [R-LA-3]

Target Audience

Population: People living in areas prone to federally declared disasters

Estimated Size: 170000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If insurers save on taxes and pass on those savings, it could lower my premiums.
  • I'm concerned about whether this impacts the federal budget and public services we receive.
  • It seems like a good idea as long as insurers don't just pocket the extra money.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Insurance claims adjuster (Houston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could stabilize the insurance market in disaster areas.
  • It may have indirect benefits for homeowners, but it could also mean us adjusters deal with fewer claim disputes.
  • I'm not sure if it's fair that potential tax savings might not reach the homeowners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Freelance Writer (California, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see how this will directly impact me.
  • Seems like homeowners might benefit but only if insurers pass on savings.
  • I'm more concerned about renter protections and policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Chef (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this policy means cheaper insurance, that would help our finances a lot.
  • I trust that the insurance companies will actually lower premiums.
  • We get flooded every other year so any reduction in costs would be beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 2

Retired Engineer (Tampa, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as beneficial long-term if insurers are transparent.
  • I hope it helps to avoid another scenario where insurance becomes unaffordable.
  • There's always a worry that tax savings won't trickle down.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Software Developer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't expect much immediate impact since I'm not near a disaster-prone area.
  • If it prevents disasters from making insurance too expensive for others, that's good.
  • My concern is whether this will impact public services through reduced tax revenues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Emergency Services Coordinator (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that helps speed up recuperation after a disaster is good.
  • For people directly affected, this could be valuable if insurers adjust accordingly.
  • I worry about the federal spending versus private savings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

Small Business Owner (Charleston, SC)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing insurance costs for homes might free up money for business investment.
  • The impact could be bigger if this affects business insurance too.
  • It's essential that these changes translate into significant savings for homeowners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Musician (Nashville, TN)

Age: 56 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see it as a beneficial policy for those really exposed to disasters.
  • The indirect benefits for me might be minimal, hopefully it encourages better insurance practices overall.
  • Ultimately, I’m watching how it impacts the federal budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Graduate Student (Boulder, CO)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’d be nice if homeowners near me faced less financial strain due to fires.
  • I don’t think this will affect rental prices unless landlords’ costs change.
  • Overall sounds good if long-term insurance becomes more accessible for everyone.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $30000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $32000000 (Low: $11000000, High: $53000000)

Year 3: $34000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $56000000)

Year 5: $37000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $59000000)

Year 10: $45000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $200000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations