Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9035

Bill Overview

Title: Farmers Deserve Notification Act

Description: This bill requires the Environmental Protection Agency to provide at least 270 days advance notice in the Federal Register when a pesticide registered under the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act is to be canceled, suspended, or restricted, except in cases where the Scientific Advisory Panel votes to not require the notification period with respect to a pesticide.

Sponsors: Rep. Baird, James R. [R-IN-4]

Target Audience

Population: People relying on agriculture for their livelihood globally

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Corn Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extra notification period is a game-changer for planning my crop cycles.
  • Now I can adjust my strategies well in advance if there's any change in pesticide supply.
  • This is particularly important during planting seasons.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Orchard Manager (California)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any heads-up on pesticide availability allows for better long-term planning for my orchard.
  • Regulatory surprises are challenging; this policy helps alleviate sudden stress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Agricultural Worker (Texas)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stability in my job is crucial and knowing changes earlier means I'm not caught off guard.
  • Hearing about cancellations last minute can lead to serious job insecurity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Agrochemical Sales Representative (Ohio)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having a 270-day advance notice is crucial for fulfilling orders and managing customer expectations.
  • It helps in explaining to clients what changes occur and preparing them adequately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Soybean Farmer (North Dakota)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure it will impact my day-to-day operations unless there's a major shift in products.
  • Good to know earlier, but not a big deal unless it's a major pesticide I rely on.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Regulatory Compliance Officer for Agriculture Firm (Georgia)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change is mostly administrative but crucial for our clients' strategic planning.
  • Less of an operational change but adds value in communicating effectively with stakeholders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Sugarcane Plantation Owner (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've been long advocating for more predictable regulatory changes and this is a step forward.
  • Predictability in pesticide supply helps align our extensive distribution chains without last-minute hurdles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Food Safety Inspector (Washington)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not impacted directly but expecting less panic-induced compliance failures among farmers.
  • Better compliance anticipation with pre-notification.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Grain Supplier Manager (Kansas)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Advance pesticide notifications ideally cut down on panic and disruptions in supply chains.
  • Helps us provide stable support to farming clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Advocate (Vermont)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Appreciate more regulatory oversight, but concerned about potential delays in banning harmful pesticides.
  • Mixed feeling; better notification helps sustainable farming adapt but should be balanced against quick policy actions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10500000 (Low: $7500000, High: $16000000)

Year 3: $11000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $17000000)

Year 5: $12000000 (Low: $8500000, High: $18000000)

Year 10: $13000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $19000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations