Bill Overview
Title: Taiwan Policy Act of 2022
Description: This bill provides support to Taiwan and addresses related issues. For example, the bill (1) establishes a comprehensive training program with Taiwan's government to familiarize the U.S. military and Taiwan's military with each other and achieve interoperability, and (2) authorizes the Department of State to take actions to help Taiwan become a non-borrowing member of the Inter-American Development Bank.
Sponsors: Rep. McCaul, Michael T. [R-TX-10]
Target Audience
Population: Taiwanese people
Estimated Size: 30000
- This bill specifically addresses issues concerning Taiwan, impacting the Taiwanese population.
- The bill includes military collaboration, which could affect the safety, security, and political environment of people in Taiwan.
- It might involve changes in economic relationships, impacting Taiwanese citizens' economic well-being.
- Additionally, the development in international membership for Taiwan could influence its economic policies, affecting the population economically.
Reasoning
- The policy's impact in the US will be most significant among military personnel and their families due to changes in deployment and training operations with Taiwan.
- People involved in businesses associated with Taiwan may feel economic and geopolitical shifts that could alter market dynamics.
- General American citizens may have varying awareness and concern about the policy depending on their interest in international affairs.
- The policy budget limits suggest that there might be limited direct financial impact on most of the civilian population in the US.
Simulated Interviews
US Navy Personnel (San Diego, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The training programs seem like a useful initiative that could strengthen our regional stability.
- I am concerned about increased time away from home due to new commitments.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 6 |
Policy Analyst (Washington, DC)
Age: 34 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy marks a positive step for US-Taiwan relations. It should enhance mutual security.
- However, economic impacts are uncertain and need monitoring.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Tech Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The policy could open more opportunities for collaboration, but also brings uncertainties due to geopolitical tensions.
- Overall, I feel cautiously optimistic.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 8 |
Retired Air Force (Denver, CO)
Age: 55 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- More military collaboration is crucial, yet I worry about potential escalation with China.
- I hope for balanced diplomacy.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
International Relations Professor (New York, NY)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I see the bill as a strategic move to maintain balance in the region.
- It's important to fully consider long-term consequences.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Software Developer (Seattle, WA)
Age: 31 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might influence tech partnerships with Taiwan, which can be a positive change.
- However, political instability is always a risk factor.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Supply Chain Manager (Austin, TX)
Age: 27 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope for smoother operations, but I'm also prepared for possible disruptions.
- The collaboration is promising for future logistics efficiency.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Retired Businessman (Houston, TX)
Age: 60 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 8.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Stabilizing Taiwan-US relationships is good for my family's business.
- I'm optimistic but worried about escalated tensions in the region.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Student (Chicago, IL)
Age: 22 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It's fascinating to see US policy in action.
- Though it may not directly affect me, understanding its implications is important for my studies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don't see how this impacts my day-to-day life.
- As long as jobs are stable and economy seems okay, I'm content.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)
Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $470000000, High: $570000000)
Year 3: $540000000 (Low: $490000000, High: $590000000)
Year 5: $580000000 (Low: $530000000, High: $630000000)
Year 10: $640000000 (Low: $590000000, High: $690000000)
Year 100: $100000000000 (Low: $90000000000, High: $110000000000)
Key Considerations
- Military collaboration involves long-term strategic benefits but requires substantial initial investment.
- The financial commitments are aimed at increasing long-term geopolitical stability and economic cooperation.
- Success in geopolitical maneuvers such as Taiwan's membership in the Inter-American Development Bank may yield economic dividends in unforeseen ways.
- The balance between costs and strategic benefits is a critical consideration in evaluating this policy.