Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8997

Bill Overview

Title: No SmartPay for Anti-2A Companies Act

Description: This bill prohibits the General Service Administration from awarding a contract under the SmartPay Program for the procurement of a commercial payment system that uses a payment processing agency that has implemented a merchant category code for gun retailers.

Sponsors: Rep. Biggs, Andy [R-AZ-5]

Target Audience

Population: People associated with gun retailers and payment agencies with 2A restrictions

Estimated Size: 1500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Gun Shop Owner (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried this policy will hurt my business. Losing the ability to work with certain payment processors could limit my customer base.
  • I support the Second Amendment and see this as an indirect attack on our rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 4 8
Year 20 3 9

Payment Processing Agency Executive (California)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our agency may need to re-evaluate how we categorize merchants to maintain government contracts.
  • This could be a big operational change, but it might not directly impact me unless my job focus shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Cashier at Gun Retailer (Michigan)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Job security worries me; if our store loses significant business, I could face reduced hours or layoffs.
  • I feel like this policy could eventually trickle down to affect my career plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Customer Service Rep at Payment Processing Company (Illinois)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There might be more workload as merchants dispute or adapt to category changes.
  • Overall, it depends on how our company decides to handle it, so my concern is moderate.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Economics Professor (New York)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the policy might seem small, it could have broader economic impacts if it pressures changes in how gun retailers operate.
  • I'll be interested in studying the longer-term economic effects if it leads to significant industry shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Gun Enthusiast and Part-time Reviewer (West Virginia)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy feels like another way to target gun rights, and I'm frustrated that it could make it harder for users like me to buy legally.
  • It seems like a roundabout form of control which I oppose.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

Chief Financial Officer at a Payment Company (Florida)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might need to adjust our risk assessments if merchants start renegotiating based on new categories.
  • It's another layer of complexity, but we've dealt with legislative changes before.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Customer at Gun Retailers (Colorado)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential restrictions in payment could make it more difficult for me to buy what I need.
  • I'm concerned about the reach of financial policies into gun rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Gun Rights Advocate (Ohio)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is concerning as it may indirectly impact our ability to conduct transactions involving firearms.
  • It feels like financial discrimination against law-abiding gun owners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Small Business Advisor (Georgia)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might create more advisory work as retailers adjust to new compliance needs.
  • I see a chance to help businesses adapt so they continue to thrive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations