Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8981

Bill Overview

Title: Securing America’s Mineral Supply Chains Act of 2022

Description: This bill addresses various matters related to mineral resources and ensuring adequate supply chains for them, with a particular focus on minerals that are critical to the U.S. economy and national security and critical energy resources. For example, the bill modifies various requirements related to permitting and other aspects of mining on federal land, including specific modifications related to critical energy resources; restricts mineral withdrawals on federal land and prohibits moratoria on or reversals of certain mineral leases, claims, or permits without congressional approval; establishes programs and requires activities to advance technologies for critical mineral production, carbon mineralization, and recovery of critical minerals from mine waste; provides support for workforce development related to mining; permits the inclusion of certain fuel minerals (e.g., uranium) on a list of minerals that are critical to the U.S. economy and national security; and requires efforts to diversify supply chains and promote domestic sources for critical energy resources.

Sponsors: Rep. Westerman, Bruce [R-AR-4]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals working in or dependent on the mining and critical mineral supply industries

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

mining engineer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am optimistic about the policy as it suggests more job stability and potential growth in the mining sector.
  • Increased focus on domestic sources might reduce dependency on foreign minerals, which can help secure my job.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

software developer (San Francisco, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Although I am not directly working in mining, the policy supports the stability of lithium supply which is critical to my industry.
  • Supply chain stability can help keep costs down, which is beneficial for my projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

graduate student (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that increased mining could negatively impact local ecosystems.
  • However, the focus on technology advancements might mitigate some environmental damage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

oil and gas worker (Houston, Texas)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Additional inclusion of fuel minerals like uranium creates potential job growth and security in our sector.
  • I support initiatives that strengthen national energy independence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 6 3

chemical engineer (Reno, Nevada)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Technological advancements in critical mineral production offer promising career prospects.
  • This bill aligns with the direction of my research and professional interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

environmental activist (Augusta, Maine)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The potential for increased mining on federal lands is concerning for those interested in conservation.
  • I hope the technological advancements in mining are sufficiently regulated to minimize ecological damage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 3
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

mining laborer (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that increases domestic mining activity could secure my job.
  • I'm concerned about safety and conditions in the industry with more intensive mining.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 3

policy advisor (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy strengthens national security and economic resilience.
  • It's essential to support strategies that enhance domestic mineral supplies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

tech entrepreneur (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's push for innovative technology in mineral recovery aligns with my business objectives.
  • Enhanced supply chain reliability is key to my company's growth objectives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

auto industry worker (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Securing a domestic supply chain for critical minerals is crucial for the automotive industry's future.
  • I'm hopeful that this policy strengthens the industry and my job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2500000000)

Year 2: $1900000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $2400000000)

Year 3: $1850000000 (Low: $1350000000, High: $2350000000)

Year 5: $1800000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $2300000000)

Year 10: $1750000000 (Low: $1250000000, High: $2250000000)

Year 100: $1600000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $2100000000)

Key Considerations