Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/897

Bill Overview

Title: Agua Caliente Land Exchange Fee to Trust Confirmation Act

Description: This act takes approximately 2,560 acres of specified lands in California into trust for the benefit of the Agua Caliente Band of Cahuilla Indians. Lands taken into trust shall be part of the tribe's reservation. Further, the act prohibits gaming on the land taken into trust.

Sponsors: Rep. Ruiz, Raul [D-CA-36]

Target Audience

Population: Members of the Agua Caliente Band of Cahuilla Indians

Estimated Size: 480

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Tribal Council Member (Palm Springs, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This expansion of reservation lands is crucial for us. It's not just about having more land; it's about protecting our culture and heritage.
  • Even though gaming isn't allowed on these lands, it opens up possibilities for ecological tourism, which aligns with our values.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 10 8

Environmental Consultant (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This trust addition is a win for conservation efforts. It allows the tribe to manage the land sustainably, protecting native flora and fauna.
  • Without gaming, the environmental impact will be lessened, leading to healthier ecosystems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Tourism Operator (Indio, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might open new avenues in eco-tourism for the area, which I could benefit from indirectly.
  • I'm concerned about regulations changing with land being federally managed, impacting my operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Local Business Owner (Palm Desert, CA)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The additional lands under trust could mean less local tax revenue, affecting public services I rely on.
  • This might slow economic growth but, if handled well, could increase foot traffic from eco-tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Policy Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a step forward in recognizing indigenous rights, though it's a shame economic opportunities like gaming are off the table.
  • This policy could set a precedent for more such moves nationwide.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Local Government Official (Riverside, CA)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The shift of these lands to federal trust might complicate local revenue streams but is overall positive for tribal self-governance.
  • The restriction on gaming is likely to impact financial inflows.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Agua Caliente Band Member (not on council) (Palm Springs, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am excited about the potential for cultural development and preservation with the new lands.
  • While I understand why gaming is restricted, it does limit financial opportunities for us youth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Economist (San Diego, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The economic impact could be minimal given no gaming revenue, but long-term cultural and environmental benefits are significant.
  • It will be interesting to see how the tribe capitalizes on non-gaming opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Academic Researcher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 47 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The reverberations of this policy might influence similar legislative acts aiming to expand tribal lands across the US.
  • Federally administered lands often adjust legal frameworks, and this is a crucial test of flexibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Former Teacher (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 72 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I value the emphasis on education and cultural enrichment these lands can bring. It could enhance learning environments for future generations.
  • The potential for increased scholarship in environmental sciences and technologies is immense.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $2500000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations