Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8961

Bill Overview

Title: To abolish the Department of Education and to provide funding directly to States for elementary and secondary education, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill abolishes the Department of Education and terminates any applicable program for which it has administrative responsibility, except for the Federal Pell Grant Program and the Federal Direct Loan Program. The bill transfers administrative responsibility for these programs to the Department of the Treasury. The bill also directs Treasury to make allocations to states to support elementary and secondary education.

Sponsors: Rep. Gohmert, Louie [R-TX-1]

Target Audience

Population: people relying on national and state-level education systems worldwide

Estimated Size: 55000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 17 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about resource availability for school projects.
  • Uncertain if extracurricular activities will receive adequate funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Public School Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about changes to curriculum standards and teaching resources.
  • Uncertain about new state guidelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

State Education Department Employee (Albany, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anticipating initial workflow hiccups as we transition to new funding structures.
  • Hopeful that state autonomy will improve educational outcomes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

School Principal (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned that reduced federal oversight will lead to inequities between wealthy and impoverished districts.
  • Optimistic about more local control over education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Federal Education Program Administrator (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Uncertainty over job security and role in new administrative structure.
  • Concerned for colleagues who might face termination.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes decentralization could lead to experiments in educational innovation.
  • Acknowledges risks of uneven policy implementation across states.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Parent and Volunteer PTA President (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned that state management might not prioritize children's needs uniformly.
  • Advocates for more parental involvement in decision-making processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

College Student, Aspiring Teacher (Denver, CO)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about entering a teaching profession during administrative upheavals.
  • Hopeful that Pell and Direct Loan programs remain stable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

State Legislator (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sees potential to tailor education policies to state needs more effectively.
  • Concerned about creating equitable funding across diverse districts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Teacher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Skeptical of state's ability to manage educational resources efficiently.
  • Worries about long-term changes impacting future generations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1200000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 2: $600000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $900000000)

Year 3: $300000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $500000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $400000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $200000000)

Key Considerations