Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8950

Bill Overview

Title: Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill grants exclusive jurisdiction to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over activity involving digital commodities as specified by the bill. The bill defines digital commodities as fungible digital forms of personal property that can be transferred person-to-person without an intermediary. Excluded from this definition are securities, interests in physical commodities, and U.S.-backed digital currencies. The commission does not have jurisdiction over digital commodities used solely for the purchase or sale of a good or service. Digital commodity platforms (including brokers, custodians, dealers, and trading facilities) must register with the commission and comply with risk management and good governance procedures. The bill also sets forth recordkeeping requirements, conflict of interest standards, and other consumer protections.

Sponsors: Rep. Maloney, Sean Patrick [D-NY-18]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in trading or using digital commodities

Estimated Size: 4000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Digital Commodity Trader (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will increase operational costs due to compliance requirements, which may reduce profit margins.
  • Having clear regulations could make the market more stable, potentially attracting more investors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Tech Marketing Specialist (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think having more consumer protections is good. It makes me feel safer trading.
  • The additional costs to platforms might get passed down to us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Financial Analyst (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy brings clarity which is good for long-term investing.
  • I'm concerned about how quickly platforms will adapt to these changes. Could slow down business initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I generally prefer less regulation, but increased consumer confidence might boost the market.
  • I'm unlikely to be affected directly unless these changes impact the market significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Crypto Exchange Platform Manager (Chicago, IL)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new regulations mean hiring more compliance officers, so our operating costs will rise.
  • This could also mean more security and trust in the market, which helps long-term growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Software Developer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our usage of digital commodities isn't affected since it's only for acquiring services.
  • I'm pleased there are regulations for trading, but not impacting our operations directly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It makes the market safer, but as a casual trader, I don't see immediate impacts.
  • Maybe fees will increase, but it's not big enough to matter for my small trades.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Accountant (Denver, CO)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having a clear set of rules is reassuring for managing clients' digital portfolios.
  • This might increase administrative tasks, fit cleanly into our compliance routines though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Supply Chain Manager (Portland, OR)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My use case isn't directly impacted, we use commodities for exchanging goods.
  • I hope the overall improvements bring about better trust in digital transactions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Policy Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This regulation is an important step for market integrity and consumer protection.
  • While compliance costs are a concern, the long-term benefits are anticipated to outweigh them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $41000000, High: $61000000)

Year 3: $52020000 (Low: $41680000, High: $62360000)

Year 5: $53060400 (Low: $42453600, High: $63667200)

Year 10: $55450704 (Low: $44316280, High: $67277028)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations