Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8930

Bill Overview

Title: Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act

Description: This bill conditions receipt of Edward Byrne Memorial Justice Assistance Grant program funding on certain minimum bail standards and public safety reporting. It also expands the definition of business of insurance (as it relates to crimes by or affecting persons engaged in the business of insurance whose activities affect interstate commerce) to include the posting of monetary bail, criminal bail bonds, and federal immigration bail bonds.

Sponsors: Rep. Fitzgerald, Scott [R-WI-5]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or affected by the criminal justice system related to violent offenses

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Public Defender (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The current bail system disproportionately affects low-income clients, often keeping them detained regardless of guilt or innocence.
  • Stricter bail requirements could exacerbate these issues, but increased funding may improve overall public safety if used correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Bail Bondsman (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The expansion of the business of insurance to include bail bonds could impose additional regulations, increasing operational costs.
  • Changes might reduce the number of clients we service if fewer people can post bail.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 5

Community Activist (Chicago, IL)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could set back bail reform efforts that aim to reduce incarceration rates for non-violent offenders.
  • Stricter bail requirements could increase pre-trial incarceration, impacting the community economically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 5 6

Police Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tougher bail standards could contribute to lowering crime rates by ensuring repeat offenders are not quickly released.
  • The funding can enhance department resources, improving safety measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Sheriff (Small Town, MT)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We rely on these grants to maintain our small department; any enhancements help us be proactive.
  • The policy’s bailout conditions don’t have much local impact but could stabilize funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Law Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy challenges efforts to reform pre-trial release procedures, possibly increasing unjust detentions.
  • It could perpetuate systemic biases, affecting marginalized communities more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Insurance Company Executive (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy introduces new compliance requirements, which might increase operational costs.
  • It could redefine competition and expand market scope but adds complexity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 5

Court Clerk (Detroit, MI)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changing bail requirements might increase the administrative burden on courts.
  • However, it could lead to improved tracking and safety measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Crime Victim Advocate (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Polices ensuring violent offenders are managed properly align with victim safety.
  • Concern about the policy not adequately addressing all victim's needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

College Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter policing and bail laws make my family feel safer, yet could have kept my cousin detained longer as he awaited trial despite non-violent charges.
  • I'm concerned about fairness and equitable justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $21000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $26000000)

Year 3: $22000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $27000000)

Year 5: $24000000 (Low: $18000000, High: $29000000)

Year 10: $26000000 (Low: $19000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations