Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8899

Bill Overview

Title: To amend title 10, United States Code, to establish a preference for domestically manufactured or produced food for military working dogs, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires the Defense Logistics Agency within the Department of Defense to give preference for the acquisition of food for military working dogs that is manufactured or produced in the United States by an entity that is based in the United States using only ingredients and materials that are grown, mined, manufactured, or produced in the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Slotkin, Elissa [D-MI-8]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in the global supply chain for military working dog food

Estimated Size: 75000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Pet food manufacturing business owner (Kansas, USA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am optimistic about this policy as it will likely increase demand for our products, providing more business stability.
  • However, I'm wary of ensuring all ingredients meet the U.S. sourcing criteria, which might increase costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Supply chain manager for a pet food company (Texas, USA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will complicate supply management by enforcing domestic sourcing, but it may create more local job opportunities.
  • Ethical sourcing becomes easier to verify domestically, which is a plus.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Veterinarian specializing in military working dogs (California, USA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring high-quality nutrition for military working dogs is paramount.
  • I support domestic sourcing if it ensures better traceability and quality control.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Farmworker (Georgia, USA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might result in more local demand for our crops.
  • However, there's a concern about increased expectations on production quality and quantity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Dog food import/export specialist (New York, USA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could drastically reduce my area of business with the military sector.
  • Domestic preference might lower international competitiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 2 7

Owner of a small ingredient supply company (Illinois, USA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential growth opportunities with this policy, should we qualify as a supplier.
  • Concerns include whether we can scale up production to meet new demands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Military personnel responsible for working dog unit (Virginia, USA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am neutral on this policy as long as food quality is maintained or improved.
  • Consistency in dog food can prevent health issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Distributor of pet food (Ohio, USA)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased domestic production needs align with our distribution plans.
  • Logistics may initially experience hiccups with supply chain shifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Policy analyst in agricultural sector (Colorado, USA)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems positive for the U.S. economy, providing local farmers and manufacturers with new opportunities.
  • It will require tight monitoring to ensure the policy's goals are met without increased bureaucracy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Environmental scientist (Washington, USA)

Age: 59 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The environmental impact of increased local agricultural production must be carefully managed.
  • This policy could be good, provided it encourages sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 2: $475000 (Low: $237500, High: $712500)

Year 3: $450000 (Low: $225000, High: $675000)

Year 5: $400000 (Low: $200000, High: $600000)

Year 10: $350000 (Low: $175000, High: $525000)

Year 100: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Key Considerations