Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8883

Bill Overview

Title: Higher Education Accountability Tax Act

Description: This bill increases from 1.4% to 10% the rate of the excise tax on the net investment income of applicable educational institutions (i.e., certain private colleges and universities). It further increases to 20% the rate of such tax on net-price-increase institutions (i.e., educational institutions whose net price increased at a rate exceeding the rate of increase in the Consumer Price Index during a specified three-year period). The bill also modifies the definition of applicable educational institution to lower the per student threshold in that definition from $500,000 to $250,000 (thus making more such institutions subject to the excise tax).

Sponsors: Rep. Joyce, David P. [R-OH-14]

Target Audience

Population: Students, faculty, and staff of certain private colleges and universities

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that tuition will increase due to this policy.
  • Financial aid might become harder to receive, making it difficult for me to continue my education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

University Professor (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might mean budget cuts which could affect my research funding and salary.
  • I’m also worried about job security if enrollments drop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Recent Graduate (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m concerned how this will impact my alumni network and the value of my degree.
  • If the university reduces programs, it could affect my job prospects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

University Administrative Staff (Chicago, IL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear potential layoffs or reduced hours due to budget constraints.
  • It's important for our school to maintain its affordability and this might challenge that.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 7

Prospective Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 18 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might look at other schools if tuition rises significantly.
  • I’m heavily considering financial aid packages when choosing a school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 6 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Researcher (Houston, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy presents a mixed bag; it could streamline funds but hurt research budgets.
  • Monitoring the long-term effects on university funding will be key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Local Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fewer students might mean less business and fewer internships.
  • Collaborations on projects could decline.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Private College Donor (Austin, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that increased taxes will mean my donations do less to help students.
  • Transparency on how the funds will replace losses is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 7 9
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 8 10
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

University Board Member (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Strategically, we must adjust to maintain financial health and student support.
  • This could mean difficult decisions about programs and staffing over the next decade.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Financial Analyst (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will force institutions to reevaluate endowment spending and operational strategies.
  • Long-term implications could reshape the higher education landscape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 3: $7000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $9000000)

Year 5: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $11000000)

Year 10: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $14000000)

Year 100: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)

Key Considerations