Bill Overview
Title: Solidify Iran Sanctions Act of 2022
Description: This bill permanently extends certain sanctions against Iran.
Sponsors: Rep. Steel, Michelle [R-CA-48]
Target Audience
Population: Iranian citizens
Estimated Size: 1000000
- The bill enacts permanent sanctions against Iran, which could impact Iranian citizens due to economic and political pressures.
- Sanctions typically affect the economy and essential services, potentially impacting millions of ordinary citizens in Iran.
- The global financial system and international companies dealing with Iran will also be impacted.
- Countries trading with Iran or having economic ties might be indirectly affected by these sanctions.
Reasoning
- The Solidify Iran Sanctions Act of 2022 will primarily affect Iranian Americans who have economic or familial ties to Iran. It may also impact U.S. businesses with previous engagements in Iran.
- The sanctions may also result in a diplomatic shift, affecting international relations, and thereby influencing the wellbeing of those who are culturally or economically connected to Iran.
- This simulated population should include Iranian Americans, business people involved in international trade, and ordinary citizens with varying degrees of connection to Iran.
- It's crucial to differentiate between individuals directly impacted by these sanctions versus those experiencing secondary effects.
- The financial budget limitations suggest the outreach and immediate impact may be focus limited, thereby necessitating efficient allocation toward those most affected.
Simulated Interviews
Import/Export Specialist (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Concerned about how these sanctions will impact business operations.
- Worried about family in Iran facing economic struggles.
- Feels this might hurt diplomatic relations further.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 8 |
Marketing Manager (New York, NY)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Sees potential business opportunities as constrained.
- Believes that there might be fewer marketing opportunities in the region.
- Wonders how this will affect international relations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Oil Industry Analyst (Houston, TX)
Age: 52 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Thinks the sanctions could impact global oil prices significantly.
- Feels his work analysis may be more critical under new circumstances.
- Worried about geopolitical tensions rising in response.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Retired Diplomat (Washington, DC)
Age: 65 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Believes there's a strategic aspect to these sanctions that can affect international diplomacy.
- Sees this as a potential hindrance to future diplomatic negotiations.
- Worries about the cultural implications for Iranians abroad.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 28 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Sanctions might limit potential collaborations.
- Concerned about decreased market access in the region.
- Thinks it may affect future startup growth potential.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Middle School Teacher (Chicago, IL)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Worries about the narrative this gives students regarding the Middle East.
- Feels that sanctions can polarize perceptions more.
- Concerned about distant family who might face economic hardship.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Research Scientist (Atlanta, GA)
Age: 50 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Pessimistic about the impact this could have on global trade.
- Worried that academic research might become more constrained.
- Thinks Iranian economic struggles might deepen.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Software Engineer (San Diego, CA)
Age: 39 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Worried about extended family in Iran.
- Sees limits on business opportunities internationally.
- Thinks this might impede technological collaboration globally.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
University Professor (Seattle, WA)
Age: 56 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Believes this might offer new courses for research but limits academic collaboration.
- Worried about increased tensions affecting her students' perceptions.
- Sees a need to address these changes academically and diplomatically.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Finance Consultant (Miami, FL)
Age: 47 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Sees the policy as a limiting factor for clients.
- Wonders about future market stability in Iran.
- Considers this a potential obstacle for international business ventures.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 100: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Key Considerations
- The global reaction to U.S. imposed sanctions can vary and might result in shifts in international trade patterns.
- Iranian retaliation, though unlikely to materially affect U.S., may impact U.S. allies or disrupt regional commerce.
- The enforcement and compliance aspects of the sanctions will require ongoing diplomatic and international cooperation.