Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8860

Bill Overview

Title: TRACE Act

Description: This bill requires the National Institute of Justice to include additional data categories in the National Missing and Unidentified Persons System (NamUs), including information about persons who go missing on federal land. It also requires the Departments of Agriculture, Interior, and Defense to report existing missing persons cases on their federal land to NamUs.

Sponsors: Rep. Neguse, Joe [D-CO-2]

Target Audience

Population: People who could be directly impacted by improved data systems for tracking missing persons

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Park Ranger (Rocky Mountains, Colorado)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will greatly enhance our capabilities to track and locate missing persons, potentially saving lives.
  • The additional data reporting can improve collaboration between different federal agencies and local law enforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 10 6

Office Worker (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see how this affects me directly as I don't usually go to these areas.
  • It seems more relevant for those who travel to national parks or forests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Hiking Guide (Yosemite National Park, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The enhancement of missing persons data systems is crucial for us who operate in federal parks.
  • It gives a better safety net for both guides and tourists.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Engineer (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm happy that there's a policy to track missing people better, especially in remote areas where I like to hike.
  • However, I feel it won't impact me directly day-to-day.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Wildlife Researcher (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Missing persons cases are a concern in these remote areas, and better tracking can save lives.
  • This policy has the potential to make my work environment safer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Retired (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how this will affect me directly, but it's good for those who live near or visit these lands regularly.
  • I've always appreciated improvements in public safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

College Student (San Francisco, California)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's great that there are efforts to improve safety for adventurers like me.
  • Knowing there's a plan might ease my family's worries when I go hiking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

School Teacher (Houston, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this act provides an educational opportunity for my students to learn about government response to public safety.
  • The indirect impact could inspire national change beyond federal lands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

College Student (Bozeman, Montana)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A tracking system would reassure me when I venture into remote areas.
  • I think it reflects positively on government efforts to ensure individual safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Event Planner (Miami, Florida)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sounds like a step in the right direction, but doesn't affect my current work much aside from improving safety perceptions.
  • More relevant for regular parkgoers, I reckon.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $7500000 (Low: $5500000, High: $9500000)

Year 5: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations