Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8853

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting American Savers and Retirees Act

Description: This bill repeals the 1% excise tax on the repurchase of corporate stock enacted by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.

Sponsors: Rep. Kustoff, David [R-TN-8]

Target Audience

Population: Corporate shareholders

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Financial Analyst (New York City, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Removing the tax on stock repurchases is beneficial; it encourages companies to buy back shares, which can improve stock prices.
  • This change might provide some growth in my investments. I'm optimistic.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Retired Teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think removing the tax makes sense if it lowers costs for companies, but I'm not sure how much it will impact me directly.
  • My mutual funds might see a bit of a bump in returns, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Tech Entrepreneur (Austin, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Removing the excise tax could lead to more stock buybacks, increasing my overall net worth due to the higher valuation of my options.
  • Long-term, this could be very beneficial if my company chooses to repurchase shares.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 10 9
Year 3 10 9
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 10

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not really aware of how stock repurchases or taxes on them affect me personally.
  • I'd like to earn and save more, but this seems more relevant to upper management and shareholders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Corporate Executive (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it’s a sensible move as it encourages optimizations in shareholder value.
  • This could enhance my investment portfolio and retirement plans significantly, especially post-COVID.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 10 9
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Marketing Manager (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am supportive of any policy that reduces unnecessary taxes.
  • Though it might not immediately affect my life, it could improve the environment for my investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Automotive Engineer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure this policy will change much for me since my portfolio isn't very focused on direct stock investments.
  • It seems to be aimed at higher income brackets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Investment Banker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Repealing the excise tax is a boost for the industry; there's more incentive for buybacks, which affects financial strategies I work with daily.
  • It might result in higher bonuses if activity rises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 10

Small Business Owner (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While mainly focused on my business, I occasionally consider stock strategies, so this may offer better opportunities.
  • I hope larger firms reinvest in growth that can benefit the broader economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Graduate Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't really follow stock market policies much.
  • This seems to be more relevant to people with investments already.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 3: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 5: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 10: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 100: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Key Considerations