Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8825

Bill Overview

Title: Small and Homestead Independent Producers Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides authority for small cultivators of marijuana and small manufacturers of marijuana products to ship and sell the marijuana or marijuana products using the U.S. Postal Service or a private or commercial interstate carrier. Specifically, marijuana or a marijuana product may be shipped or sold to individuals within a state or another state in which the possession of it is lawful by such individuals. The bill takes effect on the date on which marijuana is removed from the list of scheduled substances under the Controlled Substances Act and federal criminal penalties for an individual who manufactures, distributes, or possesses marijuana, are eliminated.

Sponsors: Rep. Huffman, Jared [D-CA-2]

Target Audience

Population: Small cultivators and manufacturers of marijuana products

Estimated Size: 450000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

marijuana cultivator (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would open up new markets for my business and significantly reduce the barriers we've been facing with regards to distribution.
  • Shipping through USPS could save us costs compared to private distributors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

marijuana product manufacturer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This would be a game-changer for my business, allowing us direct access to customers in other states.
  • I believe this would increase competition, which is a good thing for the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

logistics consultant (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could create a boom in demand for logistics and distribution planning, potentially increasing my client base.
  • This policy could streamline processes that are currently convoluted due to legal ambiguities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

USPS regional manager (New York, New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our services might face new regulatory challenges, but the increased volume could be good for USPS revenue.
  • I'm concerned about ensuring compliance with varying state laws.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

state legislator (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could harmonize state and federal policies in a beneficial way for our economy.
  • We'd need to ensure consumer protection and proper taxation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

retired (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems distant and won't affect me unless Georgia laws change.
  • I'm concerned about potential increases in drug use.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

student (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could create great business opportunities and also make it easier to pursue a career in cannabis.
  • Ultimately, it depends on state policies aligning well with federal deregulation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

software engineer (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As an individual, it could make access slightly easier, but overall the impact seems minimal for me.
  • I anticipate it may indirectly benefit tech through expanded use of logistical software.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

state law enforcement officer (Fort Worth, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Even if federal law changes, my work will still be guided by state laws unless Texas aligns fully with these changes.
  • I expect my job to become more complex rather than simpler.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

marijuana dispensary worker (Las Vegas, Nevada)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This would likely increase our business by making our local products more accessible out-of-state.
  • I am optimistic about the economic benefits for small businesses like ours.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Year 5: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Key Considerations