Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8824

Bill Overview

Title: Electoral Count Reform and Presidential Transition Improvement Act of 2022

Description: This bill revises the process of casting and counting electoral votes for presidential elections. The bill also revises provisions related to the presidential transition process. The bill specifies that the choice of electors must occur in accordance with the laws of the state enacted prior to election day. Additionally, the bill identifies each state's governor (unless otherwise identified in the laws or constitution of a state in effect on election day) as responsible for submitting the certificate of ascertainment identifying the state's electors. Further, the bill provides for expedited judicial review for any action brought by an aggrieved presidential or vice-presidential candidate arising under the U.S. Constitution or U.S. laws with respect to the issuance or transmission of such a certificate. The bill revises the framework for the joint session of Congress to count electoral votes and make a formal declaration of which candidates have been elected President and Vice President. Among other changes, the bill (1) specifies that the role of the Vice President during the joint session shall be ministerial in nature, and (2) raises the objection threshold in Congress to at least one-fifth of the duly chosen and sworn members of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. The bill also revises the presidential transition process, including to (1) allow more than one candidate to receive federal transition resources under certain circumstances, and (2) require additional reporting by the General Services Administration.

Sponsors: Rep. Gottheimer, Josh [D-NJ-5]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals impacted by changes to the U.S. presidential election and transition processes

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

State Election Official (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The reform provides clarity and strengthens the integrity of the electoral process, which is vital for democracy.
  • I'm hopeful that these changes will help minimize disputes and confusion in future elections.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Software Developer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I like knowing that the presidential transition will have more oversight and clarity.
  • It seems like this reform will make elections fairer and reduce the confusion on election night.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Retired (Columbus, Ohio)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These reforms could help prevent issues like we saw in the last few elections.
  • I'm hopeful that this will make transitions and voting processes smoother.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Political Science Student (Austin, Texas)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a student of political science, these reforms are fascinating and necessary.
  • Improving how our elections run is crucial, and I think this will help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Farmer (Rural Kansas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how much this will change my life day-to-day.
  • I hope it helps with keeping elections honest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Congressional Staffer (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being deeply involved, I think these reforms are crucial for our electoral integrity.
  • I'm optimistic that this will prevent electoral chaos we've seen in recent years.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Non-profit Worker (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These changes could really help with voter confidence and turnout.
  • I'm encouraged by efforts to streamline and protect the election process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Teacher (Miami, Florida)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These reforms could be positive, ensuring a smoother presidential transition and legislative process.
  • I care deeply that my vote counts accurately and without issue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Lawyer (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill is a step in the right direction for minimizing election-related disputes.
  • It's crucial for maintaining legal clarity during transitions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 7

Journalist (Brooklyn, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reporting on expected changes could require more clarity in news coverage but the effects should be positive.
  • It might help bring more trust to the electoral process if implemented well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $30500000, High: $71500000)

Year 3: $52020000 (Low: $31000000, High: $73000000)

Year 5: $54100800 (Low: $32200000, High: $75900000)

Year 10: $59240880 (Low: $35210000, High: $83090000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations