Bill Overview
Title: Public Lands and Waters Climate Leadership Act of 2022
Description: This bill addresses greenhouse gas emissions, including by restricting fossil fuel leasing and permitting on public lands.
Sponsors: Rep. Grijalva, Raúl M. [D-AZ-3]
Target Audience
Population: People dependent on industries related to fossil fuels and those impacted by climate change
Estimated Size: 25000000
- The bill targets fossil fuel leasing and permitting on public lands, impacting industries involved in fossil fuel extraction and related activities.
- Globally, such industries employ millions of people across different roles, including extraction, logistics, and support services.
- The focus on reducing greenhouse emissions will also indirectly influence renewable energy industries, which have a growing workforce.
- Changes in the fossil fuel industry will affect energy prices and availability, impacting consumers worldwide.
- The legislation can influence global climate change initiatives, altering how countries approach emissions reductions.
Reasoning
- The policy primarily impacts those in the fossil fuel sector, leading to potential job displacement and economic shifts.
- There's potential for growth in the renewable sector, providing new jobs and opportunities for those transitioning from fossil fuels.
- Consumers might experience changes in energy costs, influencing their cost of living and financial well-being.
- Environmental benefits might improve overall wellbeing for those living in areas previously affected by fossil fuel extraction.
Simulated Interviews
Oil rig worker (Houston, Texas)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Concerned about job security and future employment prospects.
- Worried about economic implications for community and family.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 2 | 4 |
Environmental Scientist (Denver, Colorado)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Sees the policy as a positive step towards combating climate change.
- Believes it provides long-term environmental and health benefits.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Oil Company Executive (Midland, Texas)
Age: 54 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Views the policy as a threat to the industry's viability.
- Believes it might lead to reduced profits and layoffs.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 3 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 4 | 6 |
Solar Panel Installer (San Francisco, California)
Age: 37 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Supports the policy as it potentially leads to more jobs in renewable sectors.
- Sees personal career growth and job stability opportunities.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 8 |
Retired Coal Miner (Billings, Montana)
Age: 62 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Worried about the economic impact on his town.
- Unsure how younger community members will find employment.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Climate Activist (Phoenix, Arizona)
Age: 33 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Encouraged by the implications for reducing greenhouse gases.
- Feels hopeful about long-term climate health.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Renewable Energy Consultant (Grand Junction, Colorado)
Age: 25 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Believes the policy opens new business opportunities.
- Optimistic about the shift to renewable energy.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 9 |
Coal Plant Operator (Cheyenne, Wyoming)
Age: 50 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 2/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Fears losing her job and struggles to see alternatives.
- Worried about her family's future financial security.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 3 | 5 |
Public School Teacher (Miami, Florida)
Age: 40 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Supports efforts to mitigate climate change for future generations.
- Worries about sea-level rise affecting local schools.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Natural Gas Distributor (Charleston, West Virginia)
Age: 48 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Worried about job security and transition to new sectors.
- Feels uncertainty about community's economic future.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)
Year 2: $5200000000 (Low: $4100000000, High: $6200000000)
Year 3: $5400000000 (Low: $4200000000, High: $6400000000)
Year 5: $5800000000 (Low: $4500000000, High: $6800000000)
Year 10: $7000000000 (Low: $5400000000, High: $8600000000)
Year 100: $30000000000 (Low: $24000000000, High: $36000000000)
Key Considerations
- Alternative energy investments could mitigate some of the economic impacts from fossil fuel restrictions.
- Long-term positive health and environmental outcomes could drastically outweigh short-term costs.
- The economic transition may require extensive support for displaced workers in the fossil fuel sector.