Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8791

Bill Overview

Title: Medicare Enrollment Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides for a special enrollment period for Medicare medical benefits for individuals who are enrolled in COBRA continuation coverage at the time they qualify for Medicare. The special enrollment period applies during each month of COBRA coverage and the three-month period after coverage ends; individuals may enroll during the special enrollment period once during their lifetime.

Sponsors: Rep. Schrader, Kurt [D-OR-5]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals enrolled in COBRA eligible for Medicare

Estimated Size: 200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired accountant (Florida)

Age: 66 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would provide me peace of mind knowing I have more time to navigate my Medicare enrollment.
  • COBRA is expensive, and this policy will help me transition more smoothly to more affordable healthcare.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Unemployed engineer (California)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the flexibility this policy offers, though I won't be directly affected until I turn 65.
  • It seems like a smart move to help those on the edge of Medicare qualification.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired teacher (Texas)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wish this policy had been in place when I was making my transition from COBRA to Medicare.
  • Managing deadlines and paperwork was stressful, and extra time would have been beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Part-time librarian (New York)

Age: 68 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy gives me a much-needed cushion period to transition from COBRA to Medicare.
  • It reduces my anxiety about aligning costs and coverage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Freelance graphic designer (Illinois)

Age: 64 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The safety net provided by this policy for transitioning to Medicare is reassuring.
  • I plan carefully for next steps, and this policy provides stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Healthcare consultant (Ohio)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Though I'm not currently on COBRA, understanding such safety measures exist eases planning for my eventual transition to Medicare.
  • This policy seems like a preventative measure to address potential pitfalls when switching from COBRA.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Social worker (Washington)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My employer assisted with enrollment, so I didn't face too much difficulty.
  • However, I recognize the value of such a policy for many colleagues who have similar transitions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired mechanic (Colorado)

Age: 65 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Navigating between COBRA and Medicare is daunting, and this policy seems like it recognizes that struggle.
  • The additional time is a significant stress reducer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired military (Pennsylvania)

Age: 69 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My military benefits already provided a smooth transition to Medicare, so I don’t feel this policy would impact me.
  • However, I believe it could be helpful for those without such benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired nurse (New Jersey)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthcare has been manageable for me since the transition, due in part to minimal coverage interruption.
  • This policy seems beneficial for those in other kinds of employment transitions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $260000000 (Low: $210000000, High: $310000000)

Year 3: $270000000 (Low: $220000000, High: $320000000)

Year 5: $290000000 (Low: $240000000, High: $340000000)

Year 10: $320000000 (Low: $260000000, High: $380000000)

Year 100: $400000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $500000000)

Key Considerations