Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8780

Bill Overview

Title: Expand eXpertise in China Education and Language Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to use direct hire authority to appoint at least 31 candidates with China-related linguistic, cultural, or regional expertise to the competitive service. The bill requires the State Department to train employees on competition with China and establishes a China strategic advisory board. The bill also requires the Government Accountability Office to study the capacity of the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development to support strategic competition with China.

Sponsors: Rep. Bera, Ami [D-CA-7]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals with China-related expertise and U.S. government employees engaged in foreign policy

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Foreign Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think formal training on China will improve our analysis capabilities.
  • Hiring more experts is a positive step, but retaining talent is key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

University Lecturer (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy opens new career paths for academics like me.
  • Stable government work is appealing during uncertain times.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

AI Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy includes tech integration for training.
  • The emphasis on expertise is important to strategic development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

China Policy Consultant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Training initiatives seem crucial, but must be comprehensive.
  • There's potential for increased demand for consultants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am skeptical that new hires will be adequately integrated.
  • Innovation within the State Department feels slow.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

International Relations Professor (Austin, TX)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There could be more collaboration between academia and government.
  • Funding remains a concern despite the initiative.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Government Employee (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The study on our capacity will hopefully lead to more efficiency.
  • There is a need to streamline our processes in dealing with China.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful this policy will create more job opportunities for graduates.
  • The focus on China is necessary given global dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Diplomat (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see the focus on expertise, but implementation is key.
  • Advisory boards need to actively guide policy, not just analyze.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Interpreter (Houston, TX)

Age: 36 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may not impact freelancers directly but could increase demand.
  • Need clarity on how these hires will affect existing contracts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $7500000 (Low: $6000000, High: $9000000)

Year 2: $7650000 (Low: $6120000, High: $9180000)

Year 3: $7803000 (Low: $6242400, High: $9363600)

Year 5: $8112120 (Low: $6489696, High: $9734544)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations