Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8760

Bill Overview

Title: State Firearms Dealer Licensing Enhancement Act

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Justice to award grants to states and tribal governments for the development, implementation, improvement, or evaluation of firearms dealer licensing programs.

Sponsors: Rep. Morelle, Joseph D. [D-NY-25]

Target Audience

Population: State firearm dealers and related regulatory personnel

Estimated Size: 64000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firearm Dealer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe stricter licensing could help ensure responsible sales.
  • Initial costs might be burdensome for my small shop.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

State Regulatory Agent (Kentucky)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would expand our oversight capabilities significantly.
  • It could lead to job security and growth in our department.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Tribal Government Official (Montana)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This grant could help improve our tribal law enforcement infrastructure.
  • I am concerned about sustainability after the grant funds run out.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Police Officer (California)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter dealer licensing is imperative for public safety.
  • I doubt the funding will be enough to see long-term effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Firearm Dealer (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This may complicate the online business due to more regulations.
  • We will adapt if it becomes mandatory.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

State Licensing Director (Georgia)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will greatly assist in modernizing our processes.
  • However, implementation will depend on proper management of funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Urban Firearm Dealer (Michigan)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased costs from licensing could hurt business.
  • However, improved oversight is necessary for trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Independent Firearms Instructor (Arizona)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I expect only minor changes regarding how businesses operate.
  • The licensing enhancements might lead to long-term benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Firearms Safety Advocate (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced dealer licensing ensures that firearms are handled responsibly.
  • The effectiveness depends on how well funds are utilized.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Tribal Law Enforcement Officer (North Dakota)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having proper licensing frameworks can lead to better safety in the community.
  • I hope this addresses illegal sales effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $31000000 (Low: $26000000, High: $36000000)

Year 3: $32000000 (Low: $27000000, High: $37000000)

Year 5: $34000000 (Low: $29000000, High: $39000000)

Year 10: $38000000 (Low: $33000000, High: $43000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $43000000, High: $57000000)

Key Considerations