Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8741

Bill Overview

Title: Firearm Industry Fairness Act

Description: This bill imposes a 20% surtax on the total revenue of each semi-automatic assault weapon manufacturer or importer. The bill defines semi-automatic assault weapon to include a semiautomatic rifle that has a fixed ammunition feeding device with the capacity to accept more than 15 rounds, semiautomatic pistols and shotguns, and other identified assault weapons. The bill establishes the Community Violence Intervention and Prevention Trust Fund to hold tax revenues generated by this bill to carry out the Bureau of Justice Assistance Community Violence Intervention and Prevention Initiative to prevent and reduce violent crime in communities.

Sponsors: Rep. Maloney, Carolyn B. [D-NY-12]

Target Audience

Population: People employed by semi-automatic assault weapon manufacturers or importers

Estimated Size: 2500

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firearm Manufacturer Employee (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The surtax might lead to job insecurity at our plant if it affects revenues.
  • I support the initiatives to reduce violence but worry how my family will cope if I lose my job.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Community Outreach Coordinator (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our community needs funds for violence intervention programs.
  • I believe the policy could significantly reduce gun violence in our area.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Software Developer (San Francisco, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am supportive of the policy if it reduces gun violence across the country.
  • It doesn't directly impact my life, but I feel safer with such measures in place.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Gun Store Owner (Montana)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The surtax might increase prices, affecting my sales.
  • It's crucial to balance safety with respecting responsible gun owners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could be a progressive step in violence reduction.
  • It's vital to have measurable outcomes and accountability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Police Officer (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Investment in crime prevention can be transformative.
  • High hopes for less violence in my grandchildren's future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Journalist (New York, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy helps highlight important debates on gun control.
  • Hopeful about reduction in urban crime rates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

High School Teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything to make our neighborhoods safer is a win.
  • Educators need all the help to cope with the impact of violence on youths.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Small Business Owner (Gun Range) (Raleigh, North Carolina)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could lead to increased costs for customers.
  • It's important to advocate for responsible gun use and access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

College Student (New Orleans, Louisiana)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Interested in how financial tools can aid in reducing violence.
  • Hopeful about the research opportunities this policy might bring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations