Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8732

Bill Overview

Title: Imported Seafood Safety Standards Act

Description: This bill prohibits the importation of any seafood from a foreign country unless the country complies with U.S. standards for seafood manufacturing, processing, and holding. Among other requirements, the bill requires an annual inspection of each foreign facility that exports seafood to the United States to ensure compliance with U.S. standards.

Sponsors: Rep. Higgins, Clay [R-LA-3]

Target Audience

Population: people involved in or consuming imported seafood production

Estimated Size: 15000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Seafood Restaurant Owner (New York City, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the potential delay in getting specialty seafood from our top suppliers.
  • While I appreciate improved safety standards, I worry about added costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Seafood Distributor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could disrupt supply chains, leading to short-term losses.
  • Over time, it may encourage more local sales, which could be beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Marine Biologist (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased standards may support sustainable practices, which I view positively.
  • Long-term, these changes could improve ocean health significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that my favorite seafood dishes will become pricier.
  • On the other hand, safety improvements are welcome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

College Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 24 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with my views on environmental and health safety.
  • I'm glad to see more regulations, even though I am not directly impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Grocery Store Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might face challenges in stocking certain popular imported seafood.
  • Hopefully this will drive more interest in local seafood offerings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Chef (Chicago, IL)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about cost increases, but improved quality control is beneficial.
  • Will adapt our menu if necessary, focusing more on local sources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Food Blogger (Portland, OR)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety is essential for my blogging topics, so I support improved standards.
  • Changes in availability will impact what restaurants I can review.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Seafood Supply Chain Analyst (Tampa, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expect disruptions initially, but markets will adjust over time.
  • Policy might lead to increased interest in my analyses, deepening my expertise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Environmental Activist (Austin, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A step in the right direction for sustainable seafood sourcing.
  • Supports the mission to improve public health outcomes in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $85000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $100000000)

Year 2: $90000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $105000000)

Year 3: $95000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $110000000)

Year 5: $105000000 (Low: $90000000, High: $120000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $140000000)

Year 100: $130000000 (Low: $110000000, High: $150000000)

Key Considerations