Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8730

Bill Overview

Title: Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of 2022

Description: This bill grants exclusive jurisdiction to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over activity involving digital commodities as specified by the bill. The bill defines digital commodities as fungible digital forms of personal property that can be transferred person-to-person without an intermediary. Excluded from this definition are securities, interests in physical commodities, and U.S.-backed digital currencies. The commission does not have jurisdiction over digital commodities used solely for the purchase or sale of a good or service. Digital commodity platforms (including brokers, custodians, dealers, and trading facilities) must register with the commission and comply with risk management and good governance procedures. The bill also sets forth recordkeeping requirements, conflict of interest standards, and other consumer protections.

Sponsors: Rep. Feenstra, Randy [R-IA-4]

Target Audience

Population: People using digital commodities worldwide

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think more regulation can be good for stability in these volatile markets.
  • My main concern is if my fees will increase due to these new compliance costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This new policy seems like a step towards safer markets.
  • I'm worried about how agile the market will remain.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Freelance Graphic Designer (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how these new rules will affect everyday transactions.
  • If it does add costs, that could be an issue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems like it could safeguard my investments.
  • I just hope this doesn't lead to unnecessary complications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Entrepreneur (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The compliance requirements could increase costs.
  • We may need to revisit our pricing strategy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this makes things safer for small-time users like me.
  • Cost increases would make it harder for me to use crypto.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Small Business Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial that we adapt to these changes for reputational benefits.
  • Fulfilling compliance may be challenging and costly for smaller enterprises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 2
Year 10 5 1
Year 20 4 1

Casino Manager (Las Vegas, NV)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Digital assets are key in our business, so compliance is non-negotiable.
  • However, changes might affect our operations and technology budgets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 2

IT Specialist (Denver, CO)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic as it may drive more structured innovation.
  • But if innovation is stifled by regulation, we'd miss out.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Digital Marketing Specialist (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm mostly worried about privacy.
  • There could be positives in terms of safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 2: $60000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $90000000)

Year 3: $55000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $85000000)

Year 5: $57000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $87000000)

Year 10: $60000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $90000000)

Year 100: $70000000 (Low: $38000000, High: $95000000)

Key Considerations