Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8729

Bill Overview

Title: Debt Cancellation Accountability Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Education from providing class-based loan forgiveness unless funds have been specifically requested and appropriated for this purpose. Class-based loan forgiveness refers to the cancellation, waiver, assumption, discharge, reduction, or other forgiveness of any obligation due on Federal Family Education Loans, Federal Direct Loans, or Federal Perkins Loans (1) on a class-wide basis and for a class of two or more loan borrowers, and (2) that totals more than $1 million. The prohibition does not apply to targeted loan forgiveness programs established under the Higher Education Act of 1965 and in effect before the enactment of this bill if the loan forgiveness is granted for a single borrower on a case-by-case basis.

Sponsors: Rep. Davidson, Warren [R-OH-8]

Target Audience

Population: Federal student loan borrowers

Estimated Size: 43000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about my student debt as it makes it difficult to save for a house or pursue further education.
  • The possibility of loan forgiveness was a relief, but now it seems less likely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 8
Year 20 4 9

Teacher (Austin, TX)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was counting on class-based forgiveness for my teaching position, now I'm unsure if I'll qualify.
  • The act seems like it might indirectly affect my loan situation down the line.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 8 9

Small Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel less worried personally, but I do wonder how these restrictions will affect broader loan relief opportunities.
  • Luckily, I have managed my loans so far.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

College Student (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This comes at a time when I was desperately hoping for loan forgiveness to start my career without this weight.
  • The policy seems to close off one of few options for manageable debt resolution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 2 6
Year 5 2 6
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 4 9

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about my grandchild more than myself and how this student debt will impact their life.
  • The removal of large-scale forgiveness worries me since it could limit their life choices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 9

Nurse (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I had hoped larger forgiveness plans would apply, but I am thankful that some forgiveness programs remain.
  • The uncertainty makes financial planning more stressful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 7 9

Construction Worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My children's education is costing us more than anticipated and any forgiveness could free up their future.
  • Personally, I'm less affected but concerned for family.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Part-time worker, Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The possibility of facing high debt without broad forgiveness programs is frightening.
  • Any help feels like it'd make a difference at this stage for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 9

Graphic Designer (Denver, CO)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm managing payments now, but forgiveness would open up new financial options like buying a home.
  • It's unsettling that options are now more limited.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 7 9

Freelance Writer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's disheartening to see fewer options for significant loan forgiveness.
  • Hard to plan longer-term goals with these debts looming.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $5000000)

Key Considerations