Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8714

Bill Overview

Title: ACE Act

Description: This bill modifies the actions that the Department of State must take with regards to a foreign country that refuses to accept a citizen or national of that country who is subject to a final order of removal from the United States. Currently, the State Department must discontinue granting immigration visas, nonimmigrant visas, or both, to citizens or nationals of that country until the country has accepted the individual subject to removal. Under this bill, the State Department must discontinue granting both types of visas until the country accepts the individual.

Sponsors: Rep. Tiffany, Thomas P. [R-WI-7]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign nationals under final order of removal

Estimated Size: 200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Restaurant owner (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried sick about my husband being forced to leave. It's unfair to break our family apart.
  • Deporting him won't solve any issues, he contributes to society here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 2 4
Year 5 2 4
Year 10 1 3
Year 20 1 3

Freelance graphic designer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've built my life here. I don’t know how I would survive back in Mexico.
  • This law feels like it's targeting people who have nowhere else to go.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 2 4
Year 3 2 3
Year 5 1 3
Year 10 1 2
Year 20 1 2

Immigration lawyer (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law will make it much harder for me to defend my clients effectively.
  • There will be more desperation among those facing removal, and it will hurt their families.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Meatpacking plant manager (Omaha, NE)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on many foreign nationals for my business, and this could severely disrupt our operations.
  • I understand the policy's intention but it seems harsh.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Software developer (Miami, FL)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear for my spouse's future here, it puts a huge strain on our family.
  • This policy feels really unjust and stressful for families like ours.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

College student (Dallas, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m afraid I might not be able to renew my visa due to this policy.
  • The uncertainty is really stressful when I just want to focus on my education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Border control officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it’s my job to enforce these laws, it’s heart-wrenching to see families torn apart.
  • I hope this policy leads to diplomatic solutions rather than just more expulsions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Construction worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could mean losing my only source of income which is crucial for my family.
  • I don’t have a future back home, everything I know is here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 2 4
Year 5 2 3
Year 10 1 2
Year 20 1 2

Diplomat (Washington, DC)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Blocking visas is a strong diplomatic statement that will test our foreign relations.
  • I see increased diplomatic tension which is not always productive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Public school teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can break down the family unit which is crucial for my students’ development.
  • The emotional stress on affected students will be significant and evident in their performance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations