Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8698

Bill Overview

Title: Ensuring Friendly Skies for Passengers Act

Description: This bill provides the Federal Trade Commission authority to enforce against air carriers certain unfair and deceptive trade practices. It also prohibits air carriers from selling tickets for, delaying, or cancelling a flight when the air carrier knows or should know it does not have sufficient staff to operate the flight.

Sponsors: Rep. Schakowsky, Janice D. [D-IL-9]

Target Audience

Population: Airline passengers worldwide

Estimated Size: 85000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Marketing Manager (New York City, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a frequent flyer, I've faced multiple last-minute cancellations. This policy would make planning easier and less stressful.
  • I do worry about potential ticket price increases due to added airline costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

IT Consultant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My family has been stranded more than once due to flights getting cancelled. Any steps to mitigate this would be a relief.
  • I support measures to increase transparency in airline operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Graduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Flight cancellations have made me miss important conferences. This policy might reduce such disruptions.
  • However, I am concerned about potential increases in fares or delays in implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Orlando, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Regulations could lead to more reliable travel, which is important as I travel for leisure.
  • Concerned about airlines charging higher costs or fees.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 3

Entertainment Journalist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is essential—last-minute cancellations can ruin my work schedule.
  • Skeptical about how effectively it will be enforced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 3
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Airline Pilot (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could affect staffing and work conditions positively.
  • However, there might be pressure if the airlines cut corners elsewhere.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Travel Agent (Miami, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Clients often face confusion with unreliable schedules, hoping the policy makes flights more dependable.
  • Cautious that airlines might see costs rise, affecting ticket prices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Freelance Designer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any measures to curb deceptive practices and cancellations make travel less nerve-racking.
  • Worried about potential ticket cost hikes due to increased regulatory costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 3

School Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like it would help avoid disruptions during precious vacation times.
  • I'm concerned it'll trickle down to the customer through price hikes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Business Executive (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen my share of flight issues, so this policy would theoretically benefit my schedule.
  • However, the benefits might take time to really surface in changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $51000000 (Low: $30500000, High: $71500000)

Year 3: $52020000 (Low: $31010000, High: $73040000)

Year 5: $54120804 (Low: $32242482, High: $76099126)

Year 10: $59569000 (Low: $35441100, High: $83696900)

Year 100: $86058459 (Low: $51635075, High: $120764843)

Key Considerations