Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8664

Bill Overview

Title: Atrocity Accountability Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Defense to review risks related to its provision of security assistance to certain countries identified as being at high or medium risk for atrocities.

Sponsors: Rep. Jacobs, Sara [D-CA-53]

Target Audience

Population: People living in countries identified as high or medium risk for atrocities

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy provides crucial oversight to prevent U.S. complicity in human rights violations.
  • This policy could lead to more ethical foreign policies overall.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Military Officer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy ensures accountability, but could complicate our international operations.
  • I worry how this might affect our alliances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Academic (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could improve U.S. global standing in human rights.
  • I'm interested to see how effective this oversight is.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Journalist (New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Bringing more transparency could bring change, but it's not guaranteed.
  • I'm skeptical about actual implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Defense Contractor (Florida)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could affect our business model.
  • It may lead to more stringent regulations, which could either be good or bad.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Peace Activist (Montana)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step forward to reducing atrocities by reconsidering military engagements.
  • It aligns with the pacifist movement ideals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The need for such policies is clear given past complications with international commitments.
  • This could lead to healthier international dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Oregon)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy helps those in need abroad but it doesn’t directly affect my daily life.
  • It's good to see steps for accountability, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

College Student (Massachusetts)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a fascinating subject for my studies.
  • Could this affect my potential career opportunities in foreign policy?

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Stay-at-home Parent (Georgia)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not sure how this affects my daily life, but transparency is always good.
  • There's a sense of satisfaction knowing steps are being taken.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31200000, High: $83200000)

Year 3: $54080000 (Low: $32448000, High: $86528000)

Year 5: $58320000 (Low: $34992000, High: $93184000)

Year 10: $70000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $112000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $160000000)

Key Considerations