Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8655

Bill Overview

Title: Responsible Education Assistance through Loan Reforms Act

Description: This bill makes various changes to the federal student loan system, including by (1) limiting the authority of the Department of Education to issue regulations, (2) establishing a new income-based repayment plan, (3) repealing the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program for new borrowers, and (4) allowing certain workforce development programs to be eligible for Pell Grants.

Sponsors: Rep. Foxx, Virginia [R-NC-5]

Target Audience

Population: People with federal student loans

Estimated Size: 42900000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Recent college graduate (California)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried about the potential repeal of the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program as I was planning to work in public service to manage my student loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Public school teacher (Ohio)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With the disappearance of forgiveness options for new borrowers, my long-term financial planning feels uncertain.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 6 9

Nurse (New York)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am optimistic about the new income-based repayment options. This policy seems to align repayment more with my actual income.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Electrician apprentice (Texas)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to Pell Grants for my training will significantly reduce my need for loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Project Manager (Florida)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy will have a significant impact on me personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

High school graduate (Illinois)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes to Pell Grant eligibility might help me afford skill-based education without massive loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Small business owner (New Jersey)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how these changes might affect my children, especially regarding loan forgiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Software engineer (Georgia)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new income-based repayment plan might ease my financial pressure slightly, but it's not a huge change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Medical resident (Michigan)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing the Public Service Loan Forgiveness is a huge blow to my long-term plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Retired (Arizona)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am primarily concerned with how these changes might influence the financial future of my grandchildren.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)

Year 2: $5200000000 (Low: $4200000000, High: $6200000000)

Year 3: $5400000000 (Low: $4400000000, High: $6400000000)

Year 5: $5600000000 (Low: $4600000000, High: $6600000000)

Year 10: $6000000000 (Low: $4800000000, High: $7200000000)

Year 100: $7000000000 (Low: $5600000000, High: $8400000000)

Key Considerations