Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8653

Bill Overview

Title: The Emergency Relief Program Reauthorization Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Agriculture to carry out a program to make payments for losses of crops and livestock during calendar year 2022.

Sponsors: Rep. Thompson, Mike [D-CA-5]

Target Audience

Population: Farmers and ranchers affected by crop and livestock losses in 2022

Estimated Size: 600000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Corn and Beef Farmer (Nebraska)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a lifesaver for small farmers like me, who bore the brunt of unexpected droughts. It won't cover everything, but it's a start.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Fruit Orchard Owner (California)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The relief will help, but wildfires are an ongoing threat. I hope for more long-term solutions to deal with climate change impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 2
Year 2 5 2
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 2
Year 20 3 2

Rancher (Texas)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief to have some financial aid when disasters strike. Livestock losses are devastating but manageable with assistance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Soybean Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This kind of aid provides necessary support in tough years, but won't cover all our losses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Mixed Crop Farmer (Kansas)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being new to farming, this support is crucial for learning to cope with losses and improve resilience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 2
Year 2 6 2
Year 3 6 2
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Sheep Rancher (Montana)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This program allows us to recover quicker from losses and reinvest in farm resilience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 3

Fruit Farmer (Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a temporary fix for catastrophic events, but better infrastructure to withstand hurricanes is needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 2
Year 2 4 2
Year 3 4 2
Year 5 5 2
Year 10 4 2
Year 20 3 2

Mixed Crop and Livestock Farmer (Washington)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My crop diversity helped offset some losses, but I appreciate the program for buffering financial shocks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Wheat Farmer (North Dakota)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to relief funds helps, but more comprehensive insurance options would be ideal.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 2
Year 20 3 2

Dairy Farmer (Oregon)

Age: 58 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides a short-term financial cushion, but structural issues need addressing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations