Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8649

Bill Overview

Title: Freight Rail Shipping Fair Market Act

Description: This bill reauthorizes through FY2027 the Surface Transportation Board and otherwise revises provisions related to rail transportation policies, including policies related to freight rail transportation.

Sponsors: Rep. Payne, Donald M., Jr. [D-NJ-10]

Target Audience

Population: Freight rail-dependent individuals

Estimated Size: 300000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Freight Rail Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the policy will help ensure job stability, which is my main concern.
  • If the policy improves transport reliability, it's good for the industry.
  • I'm hopeful for better regulatory protections.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Small Business Owner (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My business depends on timely and cost-effective goods shipment.
  • If the policy can ensure stable shipping costs, it will benefit me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Logistics Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems crucial for ensuring smooth logistics operations.
  • Any disruptions or improvements in freight rail impact my job directly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Engineer (Omaha, NE)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this act safeguards the rail industry's future.
  • Stability in the rail sector is crucial for my pension's security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Agricultural Producer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reliable and affordable freight options are vital for my business.
  • This policy could help stabilize shipping costs, ensuring profit margins.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Urban Planner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might encourage more sustainable freight practices.
  • Ensuring freight rail efficiency is part of broader sustainable policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Supply Chain Analyst (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Effective rail policies are vital for the accuracy of my work.
  • The policy could signal a strong future for rail logistics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Freight Rail Regulator (Denver, CO)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act could strengthen regulatory frameworks, fostering enhanced operations.
  • Maintaining a fair market is key to my role and industry health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Freight Broker (Kansas City, MO)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hoping the policy improves cost efficiency in rail transport.
  • A stable rail system benefits brokers by reducing uncertainties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Transportation Economist (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could have long-term benefits for economic stability in the rail sector.
  • Changes in freight rail could ripple across multiple economic levels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $270000000 (Low: $220000000, High: $320000000)

Year 100: $350000000 (Low: $280000000, High: $420000000)

Key Considerations