Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8647

Bill Overview

Title: PACE Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes that a state court located in an area where monetary bail is prohibited has the authority to hold on bail a criminal defendant determined to be dangerous or a repeat offender. In addition, a state or political subdivision that prohibits monetary bail waives sovereign immunity in an action for damages as a result of a dangerous criminal being released without monetary bail.

Sponsors: Rep. Malliotakis, Nicole [R-NY-11]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in or affected by the criminal justice system in areas with no monetary bail

Estimated Size: 6600000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Public Defender (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law concerns me as it undermines some of the reforms we achieved with bail elimination.
  • It may lead to unjust detentions based on bias or poor judgment of dangerousness.
  • My clients will face new uncertainties in their pre-trial arrangements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Judge (Albany, NY)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act provides necessary flexibility to detain individuals who may pose a threat to community safety.
  • It balances community safety with the rights of defendants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 8

Community Organizer (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is potentially regressive, jeopardizing community trust in justice reform initiatives.
  • My work will become harder as we witness more pre-trial detentions which may not always be justified.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Police Officer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Positive step towards discouraging repeat offenders from engaging in more crimes when released before trial.
  • Provides a better tool to ensure community safety and reduce crime rates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 7

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The reintroduction of bail may result in needless detentions affecting families we serve adversely.
  • We need to focus more on crime prevention and community programs instead.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Criminal Defense Attorney (Brooklyn, NY)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Act may translate into more work defending repeat offenders prejudged dangerous without adequate evidence.
  • Our justice system should focus on fairness and not jail individuals on mere assumptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Policy Analyst (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy allows courts more discretion which may have both positive and negative repercussions.
  • Monitoring its implementation closely will be crucial in determining its true impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Graduate Student (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having been through the system personally, I am wary of how this policy might lead to more inequity.
  • We should focus on rehabilitation and root causes rather than increased incarceration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Community Safety Advocate (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a welcome change as it could deter repeat offenders from committing crimes while awaiting trial.
  • Communities should still focus on preventive measures and holistic recovery support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Victim Advocate (Miami, FL)

Age: 56 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Victims will feel more secure knowing potentially dangerous offenders could be held on bail.
  • We need to ensure the policy is applied fairly and ethically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $21000000 (Low: $15750000, High: $31500000)

Year 3: $22050000 (Low: $16537500, High: $33075000)

Year 5: $24255000 (Low: $18191250, High: $36382500)

Year 10: $29530200 (Low: $22147650, High: $44215350)

Year 100: $204455596 (Low: $153341697, High: $255569495)

Key Considerations