Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8644

Bill Overview

Title: Advanced Border Coordination Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security to establish at least two Joint Operations Centers along the U.S.-Mexico border. The centers shall provide centralized operations hubs for (1) coordinating operations between federal, state, local, and tribal agencies as needed; and (2) coordinating and supporting border operations, including detecting criminal activity, such as activity related to transnational criminal organizations and illegal border crossings.

Sponsors: Rep. Joyce, David P. [R-OH-14]

Target Audience

Population: People living along the U.S.-Mexico border

Estimated Size: 8000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the Joint Operations Centers are a good idea; we need better coordination at the border.
  • This could streamline a lot of operations and make my job more manageable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Local Business Owner (Nogales, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased border security could deter some customers but may make the area feel safer overall.
  • I am concerned about potential negative publicity impacting tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Family Member Visiting Relatives (Tijuana, Mexico)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that crossing the border will become more difficult and stressful.
  • I hope this doesn't mean longer wait times during my visits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

School Teacher (Las Cruces, NM)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There might be disruptions in the community as enforcement increases close by.
  • It's crucial for children, especially those from immigrant families, to feel safe.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

College Student (San Diego, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned this will lead to over-policing and strain community-law enforcement relations.
  • Transparency and accountability are critical for these operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired (Yuma, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I generally support stronger borders, but I'm worried about discrimination against Hispanic communities.
  • It's a complicated issue, keeping the balance between security and rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

County Sheriff (McAllen, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Additional resources will aid in better managing criminal activities along the border.
  • It's important to continue building trust with the local community while implementing these operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Immigration Attorney (Brownsville, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might lead to increased apprehensions and complications for my clients.
  • More border enforcement needs careful oversight to prevent rights infringements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Undocumented Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm afraid increased enforcement might lead to more deportations.
  • Every day might become riskier for me and others in my community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 3
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 5

Tech Entrepreneur (Chula Vista, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These centers might make logistics smoother, benefiting businesses like mine.
  • It's crucial that the policy supports trade and not just enforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 2: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Key Considerations