Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8641

Bill Overview

Title: Orphan Drug COVID–19 Mitigation Act of 2022

Description: This bill extends by 180 days the relevant periods of market exclusivity for drugs for rare diseases or conditions (i.e., orphan drugs) for which applications were submitted during the COVID-19 emergency period.

Sponsors: Rep. Gottheimer, Josh [D-NJ-5]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by rare diseases worldwide

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Pharmaceutical researcher (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the extension is beneficial because it provides more time for companies like us to ensure our treatments reach patients without disruption.
  • On a personal level, knowing that more patients can receive timely medication is rewarding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Patient with rare condition (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This extension might help keep my medication accessible, which is crucial for managing my condition.
  • I'm worried about whether prices will rise during the exclusivity period.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 5 2

Healthcare policy analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The market exclusivity might provide stability in drug availability, but we must ensure it doesn't stifle innovation.
  • There are concerns about price increases during this exclusivity period, potentially limiting access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Software engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it's important for companies to innovate, my primary concern is my cousin's uninterrupted access to necessary drugs.
  • The policy seems beneficial, but it must be monitored to ensure patient needs are prioritized.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Biotech entrepreneur (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extension provides our company the space to navigate unforeseen delays and challenges during drug launches.
  • This policy helps us ensure sustainability and continuity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 7
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Retired physician (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy should help ensure continuity in care for young patients, which is crucial for long-term health outcomes.
  • Hopefully, it also encourages long-term investments into rare disease treatments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Pharmaceutical executive (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extension helps our team manage logistical hurdles during drug approval processes.
  • Given the impact of COVID-19, this cushion is necessary for strategic planning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Patient advocate (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring uninterrupted access to drugs is pivotal, but we need transparency in pricing during this exclusivity period.
  • This policy is promising if effectively monitored.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 3

Retired engineer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 75 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This extension is reassuring as it should help ensure my granddaughter continues to receive her necessary treatments.
  • I just hope it leads to lower drug prices over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 2

Healthcare economist (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extension provides an opportunity for further study on long-term impacts of market exclusivity.
  • I am cautiously optimistic, as any disruptions in orphan drug access can be concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 2

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $210000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $260000000)

Year 3: $220000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $270000000)

Year 5: $230000000 (Low: $180000000, High: $280000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Key Considerations