Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8636

Bill Overview

Title: Preventing PLA Acquisition of United States Technology Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits U.S. companies and universities that receive federal assistance and federal agencies from engaging in certain research or technical exchanges with Chinese entities. Specifically, this prohibition applies to research or exchanges involving (1) certain Chinese entities, including universities that receive funding from China's military and Chinese state-owned enterprises; and (2) certain technologies identified by the Chinese Communist Party as priorities for its strategy to mobilize non-military resources and expertise for military application.

Sponsors: Rep. Banks, Jim [R-IN-3]

Target Audience

Population: People working in sectors engaging in research or tech exchanges with Chinese entities

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

University Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the security concerns, but the policy limits valuable academic exchange.
  • Our department might lose funding previously supplemented by international grants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Tech company executive (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will complicate our existing projects and might stall some initiatives.
  • It may lead to significant financial losses if we can't find alternative partners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Research Scientist (Austin, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a setback for global science collaboration.
  • We might have to scale down some of our research activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might have to change my research focus due to the new policy restrictions.
  • This could delay my graduation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 6

Policy Advisor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides business opportunities as companies need consultancy for compliance.
  • However, it may hinder technological development in some sectors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy canceled our potential collaboration, which is disappointing but understandable.
  • We must now focus on domestic partnerships.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

University Administrator (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a complex policy that adds to our administrative burden.
  • Certain partnerships might have to be revisited, but it's manageable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 6

Retired Engineer (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems necessary given international tensions.
  • Had I been working, it might have curtailed some of our operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Startup Founder (Miami, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy restricts potential investors and collaborators, slowing our growth.
  • It's an interesting position given the competing geopolitical interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Corporate Lawyer (Houston, TX)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy means more advisory and legal work for me.
  • However, it may be disruptive for tech firms relying on international collaboration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $6000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $9000000)

Year 5: $4000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $6000000)

Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Key Considerations