Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8632

Bill Overview

Title: No IDs for Illegals Act

Description: This bill prohibits using federal funds to establish or otherwise support the Secure Docket Card Program of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Sponsors: Rep. Van Drew, Jefferson [R-NJ-2]

Target Audience

Population: undocumented immigrants

Estimated Size: 11000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Housekeeper (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Without proper ID, it's hard for me to apply for more stable housing or get a better job.
  • I live in fear of being asked for identification because I don't have anything official.
  • This policy makes me feel more unsafe and less a part of the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Construction worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was hoping to get some kind of ID so I can drive legally without fear.
  • Breaking this program means I keep worrying every day about getting stopped by police.
  • It's hard to plan for the future with so many barriers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

Restaurant Worker (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been trying to get some stability by securing identification documents.
  • This policy shatters a lot of dreams for stability.
  • I see my goals slipping further away because of this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 4 7

Landscaper (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy adds stress and uncertainty to my life.
  • It's becoming impossible to find help when you don't have the right papers.
  • I worry about emergencies and not being able to prove who I am.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

University Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone without a current visa, getting an ID could help stabilize my academic journey.
  • The policy cancellation feels like a setback in staying long-term in the U.S.
  • I fear this complicating job prospects even more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Retired (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy as unnecessarily punitive toward people trying to make a better life.
  • It's unfair to create additional barriers for those already struggling.
  • I support inclusive efforts that help migrants integrate into society.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Community College Student (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have DACA protection, but others in my community are not so fortunate.
  • Policies like this create unnecessary fear among families.
  • More efforts should be made to bring security rather than insecurity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Small Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this limit the potential of motivated workers.
  • I fear losing talented employees who cannot navigate these legal hurdles.
  • This makes us more uncertain about our business growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Teacher (Denver, CO)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cancellation of this program is detrimental to students who need stability.
  • Official ID is foundational to feeling part of a community.
  • Policies like this can disrupt education for many.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Social Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We need to protect vulnerable populations, not strip away their chances at identification.
  • The policy increases my workload as families come in need of navigating new hurdles.
  • As a community, we should aim for inclusivity and support, not fear.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000000)

Key Considerations