Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8629

Bill Overview

Title: Protect Afghan Students Act of 2022

Description: This bill removes the residency requirements to be eligible for a student visa (F visa) for certain individuals who last habitually resided in Afghanistan.

Sponsors: Rep. Slotkin, Elissa [D-MI-8]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who last habitually resided in Afghanistan and are seeking student visas

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International student (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have been trying to secure my F visa for months, and this policy would streamline the process significantly for me.
  • It's a relief to know that I might not be penalized for my disrupted residency history due to the conflict.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 4
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 3

Immigration attorney (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for the clients I support. It removes a significant barrier and provides more clarity.
  • I anticipate an increase in applicant numbers but also potential delays as the system adjusts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Afghan community worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a welcomed change for our community. Many bright students were lost due to kinks in the residency rules.
  • Greater access to education abroad can help individuals and the community as a whole.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

High school student (Houston, TX)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was worried about my visa situation after high school, so this change comes as a big relief.
  • It's good to know that policies are adapting to current situations and not leaving people like me stranded.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

University admissions officer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We expect more applicants, which is great for diversity but also requires increased administrative readiness.
  • This policy can open more doors for deserving students hindered by prior residency requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Journalist (Fairfax, VA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a significant policy shift for Afghan students, making education more accessible amidst crisis.
  • However, it offers limited comfort unless paired with broader asylum and support services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Refugee support volunteer (Boston, MA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Removing residency barriers allows more young Afghans to pursue U.S. education, opening new paths for displaced individuals.
  • It aligns well with ongoing efforts to support Afghan evacuees but needs complementary resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Entrepreneur (Fremont, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might not directly impact my business, but it supports the wellbeing of the broader Afghan community.
  • Educated individuals can contribute more effectively, leading to potential business growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Policy analyst (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a strategic adaptation to the current crisis, aiding in humanitarian and educational avenues.
  • Success depends on implementation and support structures, including funding and educational capacity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Grad student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It combines personal relief with academic interest as I see this opening up new research opportunities for my peers and me.
  • There may be challenges in matching policy intent with execution, especially given resource constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations