Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8615

Bill Overview

Title: To amend title 49, United States Code, to limit the preference for Amtrak using rail lines, junctions, and crossings near ports and rail yards, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill limits Amtrak's preference over freight transportation in using a rail line, junction, or crossing if such rail line, junction, or crossing is located within 50 miles of a port or rail yard. The Department of Transportation may issue regulations to continue the preference waiver if necessary.

Sponsors: Rep. Johnson, Dusty [R-SD-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals using rail transportation services near ports and rail yards

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Logistics Manager (Newark, NJ)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes will be positive for our operations if rail freight can be streamlined near the port.
  • I don't use Amtrak very often, so changes there don't concern me much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Port Worker (Long Beach, CA)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Faster freight lines might mean more work for us, that's beneficial.
  • Amtrak's service levels changing doesn't directly impact me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 6 5

Amtrak Passenger (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about delays on my daily commute if Amtrak is deprioritized.
  • Freight needs are important, but passenger services should not suffer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 4 5

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Efficient freight operation can reduce logistics costs for my business.
  • I rarely use Amtrak, so I won't feel the passenger impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired (Seattle, WA)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I enjoy the relaxing Amtrak journeys; I hope this doesn't mean frequent delays.
  • Freight trains should be faster, but not at the passenger's expense.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 6

Freight Broker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is great for my work; easier freight access improves my job prospects.
  • I don't have any specific insights on Amtrak's service issues personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Community Planner (Miami, FL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill will require careful planning to ensure community needs aren't neglected.
  • We might benefit from smoother freight timings without impacting passengers severely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Non-Profit Director (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Amtrak services are crucial for accessibility, and any reduction in service can hurt marginalized communities.
  • Freight efficiencies are important, but social impacts must be addressed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 5

Environmental Scientist (Oakland, CA)

Age: 43 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improved freight operations could reduce environmental impacts if done sustainably.
  • It's vital to prioritize sustainable and integrated urban transport systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

School Teacher (St. Louis, MO)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Amtrak needs to maintain service levels for those who rely on it, like during family visits.
  • Freight progress shouldn't compromise passenger rail, as many depend on it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5200000 (Low: $3200000, High: $7200000)

Year 3: $5400000 (Low: $3400000, High: $7400000)

Year 5: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $8000000)

Year 10: $6500000 (Low: $4500000, High: $8500000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations