Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8586

Bill Overview

Title: EFFECTIVE Act

Description: This bill specifies that the Food and Drug Administration may deny an application for a new opioid analgesic drug upon a determination that the drug does not provide a significant advantage or clinical superiority compared to other drugs.

Sponsors: Rep. Trone, David J. [D-MD-6]

Target Audience

Population: People who are prescribed and use opioid analgesic drugs

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (Kentucky)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think stricter regulations on opioid approvals are necessary to curb the misuse.
  • However, we also need to ensure that patients genuinely in need of opioids aren't left without options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 6 4

Construction Worker (West Virginia)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about not having access to effective pain management.
  • I understand the need for regulation but hope it considers people like me as well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 4

Retired (Florida)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I see the need for this policy, educational efforts alongside it are crucial.
  • Opioids should be used responsibly, but alternatives and education must be promoted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Pharmaceutical Company Employee (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could affect our business significantly.
  • We may need to invest more in developing truly innovative pain management solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Primary Care Physician (Ohio)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns well with best patient care practices.
  • We should always prioritize alternative and effective treatments over more opioids.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Regulatory Affairs Specialist (New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter regulations will likely make approvals more challenging but more rigorous.
  • Ensures only the best solutions for opioid disorders make it to market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Graduate Student (Texas)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The EFFECTIVE Act is a step toward prioritizing public health.
  • It might inspire similar policies globally if successful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Chronic Pain Patient (Arizona)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my access to pain relief amid increased regulation.
  • I'm exploring alternative therapies but they don't always work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 3

Pharmacy Technician (Illinois)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing unnecessary opioids through policy like this is essential.
  • We need consistent guidelines to help implement these changes smoothly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Substance Abuse Counselor (Oregon)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial to address the opioid crisis through various means, including regulation.
  • This policy may help reduce addiction rates significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $16500000 (Low: $11000000, High: $22000000)

Year 3: $18000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $24000000)

Year 5: $21000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $28000000)

Year 10: $27000000 (Low: $18000000, High: $36000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $140000000)

Key Considerations