Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8571

Bill Overview

Title: PACE Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes that a state court located in an area where monetary bail is prohibited has the authority to hold on bail a criminal defendant determined to be dangerous or a repeat offender. In addition, a state or political subdivision that prohibits monetary bail waives sovereign immunity in an action for damages as a result of a dangerous criminal being released without monetary bail.

Sponsors: Rep. Malliotakis, Nicole [R-NY-11]

Target Audience

Population: People in regions with prohibition of monetary bail

Estimated Size: 2500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel somewhat safer knowing that potentially dangerous individuals won't just be released due to lack of bail.
  • I am concerned about possible injustices or mistakes in deciding who is considered dangerous.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Public Defender (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could lead to overcrowded jails and systemic strain.
  • I'm worried about my clients being unfairly held without a true case of danger.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Community Organizer (New York, NY)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might roll back important reforms I've been advocating for.
  • The potential for misuse and abuse of power worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Police Officer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support holding repeat offenders to protect our communities.
  • The policy should have robust checks to avoid targeting the wrong people.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The safety of my neighborhood is my top concern, so I'm for it.
  • I hope it sincerely improves safety and doesn't have negative side effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy is necessary to prevent past incidents in my life from happening again.
  • There must be a clear guideline to assess dangerousness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Judge (Miami, FL)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This allows for better judicial discretion in handling repeat offenders.
  • It's crucial to exercise caution and maintain fair standards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

College Student (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm cautious about this causing disparities, targeting socio-economically disadvantaged individuals.
  • Monitoring the real-life outcomes will be interesting to see.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Freelance Journalist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry this bill could lead to increased incarceration without fair trial.
  • The accountability in judicial decisions should be very high.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Criminal Defense Attorney (Boston, MA)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can lead to a reduction in judicial fairness and increase biases.
  • Defendants’ rights must not be overlooked while focusing on public safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations