Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8562

Bill Overview

Title: Defense Production Oversight Act of 2022

Description: This bill authorizes Congress to nullify the President's invocation of authorities under the Defense Production Act of 1950 by enacting a joint resolution disapproving of the invocation. It also outlines procedures for the consideration of the joint resolution. (The Defense Production Act of 1950 confers upon the President a broad set of authorities to influence domestic industry in order to provide essential materials and goods needed for the national defense.)

Sponsors: Rep. Donalds, Byron [R-FL-19]

Target Audience

Population: People employed in national defense-related industries worldwide

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Aerospace Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that nullifying the President's invocation could delay our production schedules.
  • Any cut in defense contracts could affect jobs here, including mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 6

Pharmaceutical Production Manager (Dallas, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The oversight act might stabilize price fluctuations in raw materials.
  • Our plant's operation might get affected if military orders are reduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Steel Mill Worker (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change could lead to reductions in work hours or layoffs.
  • I hope Congress makes wise decisions to secure our jobs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 4

Electronics Technician (San Jose, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that the policy won't disrupt our supply lines.
  • My job is critical, but changes like these always bring uncertainty.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 7 8

Retired Military Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My concern is more for friends still in the industry.
  • The oversight law might be good for a balanced approach.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 8 9

Automotive Engineer (Detroit, MI)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our work is peripheral to direct defense contracts, but effects could ripple out.
  • It's essential that jobs in our area remain stable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 8

Logistics Coordinator (Denver, CO)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may lead to slower operations, as government approvals take time.
  • Reduced contracts could be a risk.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Software Developer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that this oversight leads to more strategic use of resources.
  • Cautiously optimistic about job stability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Academic Researcher (Boston, MA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an interesting policy development that could recalibrate industry influences.
  • More analysis on the impacts is needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired Engineer (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While retired, I'm concerned about the effects on new workers entering the field.
  • Defense industry is critical; changes should ensure no economic rifts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Key Considerations