Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8550

Bill Overview

Title: Public Service Reform Act

Description: This bill establishes all employees of the executive branch as at-will employees who may be subject to any adverse personnel action with or without cause and without the right to appeal such actions. The bill also establishes specialized removal procedures for career employees (i.e., nonpolitical employees), abolishes the Merit Systems Protection Board, and provides certain allowances for whistleblowers and appeals to the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission.

Sponsors: Rep. Roy, Chip [R-TX-21]

Target Audience

Population: Executive Branch Employees of the United States

Estimated Size: 2100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Department of Transportation Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my job security with the policy allowing dismissals without cause.
  • Despite the whistleblower protections, the lack of appeal options is concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

IRS Auditor (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy somewhat motivates me to prove my worth since performance is prioritized.
  • However, I fear the lack of appeals process might lead to arbitrary decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

EPA Scientist (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is disheartening as it introduces instability close to my retirement.
  • I'm relieved my role's impact might be minimal due to niche expertise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

HUD Policy Specialist (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This gives management flexibility, potentially driving innovations, but feels risky with my long-term job aspirations.
  • The absence of appeals could jeopardize fair treatment in workplaces.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

NASA Engineer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 48 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our work relies heavily on stability and protected intellectual rights; this policy might jeopardize our focus.
  • Despite the whistleblower allowances, confidence in job protection is undermined.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 7 9
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

HR Manager at USDA (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy increases responsibilities without adequate system supports for appeals.
  • There's a pressure to align closely with upper management directives now.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 3 6

FTC Investigator (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The lack of grievance procedures can be concerning for fair workplace practices.
  • In my role, investigative integrity relies on procedural fairness, which could be compromised.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Social Security Administration Processor (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased uncertainty about job security under this new policy affects my career planning.
  • I do appreciate the chance to be more dynamic, but it's outweighed by heightened instability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Veterans Health Administration Nurse (Kansas City, Missouri)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Patient care might suffer if healthcare staff feel insecure in their jobs.
  • The removal of the Merit Systems Protection Board strips a safety net for us. It's troubling.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Customs and Border Protection Officer (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • At my career stage, I'm observing but I believe younger colleagues could feel anxious.
  • The policy might incite nervousness without tangible benefits to performance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $125000000 (Low: $85000000, High: $170000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $140000000)

Year 5: $75000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $95000000)

Year 10: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations