Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8540

Bill Overview

Title: Developing and Nationalizing Key Cannabis Research Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to expand activities concerning cannabis research. The NIH must collaborate with specified agencies to develop a national cannabis research agenda. Among other topics, the agenda must address (1) the therapeutic benefits of cannabis, (2) how cannabis effects specified populations, and (3) other public safety considerations. Additionally, the NIH must designate centers of excellence in cannabis research at institutions of higher education to conduct interdisciplinary research about biomedical, behavioral, and social issues related to cannabis. The CDC must work with other agencies to collect population-wide data about cannabis use, including (1) demographic factors, (2) health outcomes, (3) product variety, and (4) other relevant health information.

Sponsors: Rep. Peters, Scott H. [D-CA-52]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals using cannabis and professionals in cannabis research globally

Estimated Size: 15000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Medical Cannabis Researcher (California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is great news for my work as it means increased funding and collaboration opportunities.
  • Finally, we can conduct comprehensive studies with the backing of significant federal support.
  • It could lead to breakthroughs in cannabis-based therapies, helping a lot of people.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Dispensary Owner and Cannabis Activist (Colorado)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding research could validate claims we've made about the health benefits of cannabis.
  • Regulations might get stricter based on new findings, so it's a double-edged sword for the business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Graduate Student (New York)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With more research opportunities, my career prospects become brighter.
  • I'm concerned about how findings may be used politically, but overall knowledge gain is positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Healthcare Policy Advisor (Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could reshape the landscape of drug regulation significantly.
  • I'm hopeful it will provide a strong evidence base for safer drug policies in Texas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Chronic Pain Patient (Florida)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on cannabis for my pain, and more research could validate its use or provide alternatives.
  • If regulations change, it might affect my access positively or negatively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Pharmacist (Michigan)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might lead to new cannabis-based pharmaceuticals, a positive for patient options.
  • I worry about the impact on existing medication protocols if cannabis shifts the treatment landscape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Software Developer (Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Research might lead to better understanding and potentially more regulation of products I use recreationally.
  • It could also lead to more innovative and safer product offerings in the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Cannabis Industry Analyst (Massachusetts)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More research means better market forecasts and potentially more robust market growth.
  • I'm eager but cautious about how research findings might affect regulations and market dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Public Health Officer (Oregon)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The data generated could help us shape more effective community health programs.
  • I see this as a way to improve substance abuse treatment and prevention initiatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Clinical Psychologist (Illinois)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will support critical research into cannabis as a therapeutic tool in mental health.
  • It could offer new avenues for evidence-based treatment of conditions like anxiety and PTSD.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 2: $95000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $115000000)

Year 3: $90000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $110000000)

Year 5: $85000000 (Low: $68000000, High: $105000000)

Year 10: $80000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $100000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations