Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8538

Bill Overview

Title: Body Armor Safety Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires body armor (for use by law enforcement) to comply with certain safety requirements in order to be imported into the United States. It also establishes new criminal offenses related to fraud in connection with such body armor.

Sponsors: Rep. Nehls, Troy E. [R-TX-22]

Target Audience

Population: law enforcement officers and body armor suppliers

Estimated Size: 820000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Police Officer (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could improve my safety on the job by ensuring my armor meets high standards.
  • I am concerned about potential supply chain delays or increased costs as suppliers adjust to new regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Body Armor Manufacturer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will require additional safety certifications that we might not currently have.
  • It's going to increase operational costs, but in the long term, could boost our credibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Supply Chain Manager (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • New compliance requirements mean updating our processes, which could initially disrupt operations.
  • Ultimately, these changes improve trust and reliability in our products.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Police Union Representative (New York, New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic that this will help improve our officers' safety gear.
  • My concern lies in potential unanticipated costs or delays in getting compliant gear to officers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Criminal Lawyer (Miami, Florida)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This introduces new legal avenues which might increase casework.
  • The policy emphasizes compliance to prevent fraud, potentially reducing such cases in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Body Armor Sales Representative (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Customers will inquire more about compliance and safety standards, enhancing the value of high-quality armor.
  • Initial adjustment might slow down sales as compliance features are emphasized.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired Law Enforcement Officer (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad to see a push towards better safety compliance, it could save lives.
  • Hope it doesn't lead to excessive bureaucratic hurdles that stall the availability of equipment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Logistics Analyst (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy updates could lead to better quality products, but could affect short-term forecasts.
  • It's important to balance cost, compliance, and timely delivery to stakeholders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Firearms and Tactical Equipment Retailer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will make compliance a competitive advantage, impacting our product offering.
  • Short-term might hurt sales; long-term, improved product trust might increase market share.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Federal Compliance Officer (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy adds to my workload, ensuring items meet the necessary requirements.
  • It's a positive step for safety, which aligns with my beliefs in rigorous standards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $24000000 (Low: $19000000, High: $29000000)

Year 3: $24000000 (Low: $19000000, High: $29000000)

Year 5: $23000000 (Low: $18000000, High: $28000000)

Year 10: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations