Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8534

Bill Overview

Title: Responsible Gun Ownership Licensing Act

Description: This bill establishes a federal firearm licensing program through which an individual must obtain a federal firearm license from the Department of Justice prior to purchasing or receiving a firearm. To be eligible for such a license, the individual must have completed training in firearms safety and be subject to a background investigation and criminal history check.

Sponsors: Rep. Kim, Andy [D-NJ-3]

Target Audience

Population: People intending to purchase or acquire firearms

Estimated Size: 25000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

School Teacher (Texas)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy could enhance safety and responsible ownership.
  • I support measures that ensure only trained individuals can purchase firearms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired Police Officer (Pennsylvania)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry the licensing might infringe on my rights.
  • Training could be useful, but it should not be mandatory.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Peace Officer (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing everyone needs training gives me peace of mind.
  • The policy should streamline licensing processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Gun Store Owner (Virginia)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Business may be affected by administrative changes.
  • Safety training could increase trust in legal sales processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Military Veteran (Illinois)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy supports responsible ownership.
  • Veterans should be included in training delivery.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

College Student (Idaho)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could make it more expensive and cumbersome to learn.
  • I think requiring training could deter misuse among peers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Legal Consultant (New York)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support this as a step towards more comprehensive gun control.
  • The policy could face legal challenges but is necessary for public safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Firearms Safety Instructor (Florida)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might increase demand for our classes.
  • The policy mandates a balanced approach to rights and responsibilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Nurse (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I don't own guns, this policy could reduce gun-related accidents.
  • I'm supportive but concerned about government oversight.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

IT Technician (Georgia)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The licensing process should be efficient to avoid delays.
  • I agree with the necessity of safety training.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 3: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 5: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $150000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations