Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8528

Bill Overview

Title: ACE Act

Description: This bill addresses election administration and security, campaign finance, and other related provisions. Among other provisions, the bill reduces certain election assistance payments for states and local jurisdictions that allow noncitizens to vote in state and local elections, establishes certain requirements related to election and political mail, prohibits foreign nationals from making contributions or donations in connection with state or local ballot initiatives or referenda, repeals certain limits on coordinated party expenditures and aggregate contributions by individuals, terminates the Presidential Election Campaign Fund and requires remaining funds to be transferred to the 10-Year Pediatric Research Initiative Fund, and prohibits the use of federal funds to establish a Disinformation Governance Board.

Sponsors: Rep. Davis, Rodney [R-IL-13]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by changes in election laws, financing, and administration

Estimated Size: 250000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

City Council Member (Austin, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ACE Act undermines local control over election procedures.
  • Our city's ability to include noncitizen voices will be financially penalized, which is disappointing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Software Developer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The prohibition on foreign contributions makes sense to maintain integrity.
  • I am uncertain about the impact on funding for local initiatives I support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Teacher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate efforts to safeguard election integrity.
  • The fund redirection to pediatric research is a beneficial change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Research Scientist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Redirecting funds to pediatric research could have a significant positive impact.
  • Worried about the political finance changes and their effect on local advocacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Political Consultant (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal of contribution limits changes the landscape significantly.
  • Potentially more funding available but less transparent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Nonprofit Director (Boston, MA)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill could negatively affect civic participation initiatives.
  • Shifts in funding threaten valuable educational programs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Graduate Student (Brooklyn, NY)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes seem aimed at election integrity but might be overly restrictive.
  • Redirected funds to research is a positive vision.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Health Care Administrator (Charlotte, NC)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ending the Presidential Election Campaign Fund alters funding dynamics.
  • Increased funds for pediatric research will benefit public health in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Small Business Owner (Denver, CO)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased campaign contributions and expenditures could benefit business initiatives.
  • Concerned about increased potential for political influence from large donors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired Army Officer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy enhances trust in the electoral system.
  • Terminating the election fund is acceptable if resources are used wisely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $54100000 (Low: $44000000, High: $64000000)

Year 5: $58032000 (Low: $47000000, High: $68000000)

Year 10: $67307621 (Low: $55000000, High: $78000000)

Year 100: $90000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $100000000)

Key Considerations