Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8518

Bill Overview

Title: Texas Coastal Spine Authorization Act

Description: This bill authorizes the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to carry out the project on coastal Texas protection and restoration in accordance with the plans and conditions laid out in the report issued by the Chief of Engineers on September 16, 2021. The report recommends plans to reduce the risks of tropical storm surge impacts and to restore degraded coastal ecosystems on the Texas Gulf Coast.

Sponsors: Rep. Weber, Randy K., Sr. [R-TX-14]

Target Audience

Population: People living in or near the Texas Gulf Coast

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Elementary School Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Frequent flooding in Houston disrupts my life and my teaching.
  • I worry every hurricane season about losing my home.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Fisherman (Galveston, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Storm surges have made fishing more dangerous and unpredictable.
  • Restoring ecosystems might improve fishing conditions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Environmental Scientist (Corpus Christi, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that the policy will lead to better protection and more projects focusing on restoration.
  • Balancing construction with environmental impacts will be key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Construction Manager (Dallas, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This project could mean more business and job stability for me.
  • Even though I'm not directly affected, better coastal protection is important for the state.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Retired (Austin, TX)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my grandchildren in Houston when storms come.
  • Knowing something is being done for their safety is reassuring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Business Owner (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Property damage from storms has cost me a lot in repairs and lost income.
  • I'm hopeful that improved infrastructure will protect my investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Graduate Student (Houston, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Government action on climate change is crucial, I hope this policy is executed sustainably.
  • I'm worried about the potential environmental side effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 3

Civil Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could bring more engineering projects and job opportunities.
  • Better coastal infrastructure is a wise long-term investment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Real Estate Agent (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My clients often worry about the property damage costs from flooding.
  • A successful project implementation might stabilize property markets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Retired Military (Galveston, TX)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better coastal protection will make it easier for emergency services to do their job.
  • I support measures that can mitigate damage and protect lives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1600000000 (Low: $1280000000, High: $1920000000)

Year 3: $1700000000 (Low: $1360000000, High: $2040000000)

Year 5: $1900000000 (Low: $1520000000, High: $2280000000)

Year 10: $2500000000 (Low: $2000000000, High: $3000000000)

Year 100: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)

Key Considerations