Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8496

Bill Overview

Title: Fairness for Responsible Borrowers Act

Description: This bill generally prohibits the Departments of Education, Justice, or the Treasury from taking any action to cancel or forgive the outstanding balances, or portion of balances, of covered loans. Covered loans refer to Federal Family Education Loans, Federal Direct Loans, Federal Perkins Loans, and loans under the Health Education Assistance Loan Program. The prohibition does not apply to targeted federal student loan forgiveness, cancellation, or repayment programs carried out under the Higher Education Act of 1965.

Sponsors: Rep. Grothman, Glenn [R-WI-6]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals with federal student loans in the United States

Estimated Size: 45000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried about how the lack of widespread forgiveness could affect my financial situation after graduation.
  • While I am hopeful to benefit under targeted forgiveness as a teacher, there's always uncertainty.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Software Engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't really impact me much as I earn enough to keep up with payments.
  • While forgiveness would have been nice, I'm not dependent on it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Nurse Practitioner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was really counting on some sort of widespread forgiveness to ease my financial burden.
  • Even targeted programs seem uncertain, and this policy dampens hope for change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 9

Public School Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone who qualifies for a targeted forgiveness program, I feel somewhat secure in my situation.
  • This policy may affect my colleagues who aren't in similar programs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Freelance Journalist (Denver, CO)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm deeply concerned as flexible income might not suffice with stringent policies.
  • I was hoping for some kind of substantial relief that seems less likely now.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 7

Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While things are stable now, the lack of forgiveness could become a burden if my business faces downturns.
  • I would prefer the flexibility to have had some part of the loan forgiven.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Biotechnologist (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy restricts blanket forgiveness, raising concerns about loan repayment sustainability.
  • Hoping my career trajectory offsets the financial pressures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 9

Retired Engineer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm mostly relying on targeted programs for my grandchildren, and this does not affect my overall plans.
  • Retirement savings give me more flexibility than others.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Recent College Graduate (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief that targeted programs might still help because the future is uncertain.
  • The policy feels restrictive, yet something is better than nothing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Environmental Consultant (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't drastically change my financial planning since I have the means to manage payments.
  • I remain hopeful that targeted programs might be an option.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 10: $30000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $60000000)

Year 100: $35000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations