Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/8474

Bill Overview

Title: Second Chance at Public Service Loan Forgiveness Act

Description: This bill makes changes to the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program. Among other changes, the bill (1) allows a borrower who obtained an eligible Federal Direct Loan on or after January 1, 1994, to receive loan forgiveness under the PSLF program; (2) provides additional relevant definitions, including to specify that full-time employment is at least 30 hours a week; and (3) allows an eligible teacher to use the same teaching service to qualify for both the Teacher Loan Forgiveness program and the PSLF program.

Sponsors: Rep. Norcross, Donald [D-NJ-1]

Target Audience

Population: People with qualifying Federal Direct Loans working in public service or non-profit sectors

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this bill is fantastic. It helps people like me who have been paying off loans for ages.
  • I've been hoping for some kind of relief; my teaching salary makes it hard to pay off the entire loan.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Social Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This gives me a real chance to be debt-free while working in a job I love, helping people.
  • Often thought I'd have to leave the non-profit sector to pay off my loans sooner.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Public School Teacher (New York City, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Finally, a policy that acknowledges the financial burdens new teachers face.
  • I'm grateful that my early years of teaching will count towards loan forgiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Firefighter (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief, knowing the rest of my loans might be forgiven sooner.
  • I've worked hard my whole life, and this would mean a better retirement plan.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Nurse (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A second chance is exactly what I need, given my career in public health.
  • It's a great opportunity for those stuck in financial burdens despite years of service.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Police Officer (Miami, FL)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an overdue acknowledgment of what public sector workers contribute.
  • I can see a future without the weight of my student loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Public Librarian (Boston, MA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The expansion can be life-changing for long-term public service employees.
  • Important that it captures those who might have missed out before.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Environmental Scientist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can provide immense stability for non-profit workers like me.
  • Relief from loan payments means focusing more on advancing my career.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Public Defender (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill gives public defenders like me a financial path forward.
  • Managing both living expenses and loans has been difficult.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Public Health Analyst (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Eliminating outstanding loans can improve my retirement prospects.
  • I've considered early retirement, but loans were holding me back.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $4000000000 (Low: $3200000000, High: $4800000000)

Year 2: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)

Year 3: $6000000000 (Low: $4800000000, High: $7200000000)

Year 5: $8000000000 (Low: $6400000000, High: $9600000000)

Year 10: $10000000000 (Low: $8000000000, High: $12000000000)

Year 100: $10000000000 (Low: $8000000000, High: $12000000000)

Key Considerations